North Dakota's at-large congressional district, rated R+18 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus assigning over 95% implied probability to a Republican House election winner on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak, who secured a 39-point margin in 2024, announced her reelection campaign in January and is forgoing the NDGOP endorsement convention to focus on the June 9 Republican primary against challenger Alex Balazs. Democrat Trygve Hammer faces no primary opposition. Absent a primary upset nominating a weaker Republican, major scandal, health issue for the nominee, or unprecedented national Democratic wave, the GOP's structural advantages in this deep-red state sustain the commanding odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоND-AL House Election Winner
ND-AL House Election Winner
$37,290 Обс.
$37,290 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
4%
$37,290 Обс.
$37,290 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$22,422 Обс.
96%
Democratic Party
$14,868 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large congressional district, rated R+18 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus assigning over 95% implied probability to a Republican House election winner on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak, who secured a 39-point margin in 2024, announced her reelection campaign in January and is forgoing the NDGOP endorsement convention to focus on the June 9 Republican primary against challenger Alex Balazs. Democrat Trygve Hammer faces no primary opposition. Absent a primary upset nominating a weaker Republican, major scandal, health issue for the nominee, or unprecedented national Democratic wave, the GOP's structural advantages in this deep-red state sustain the commanding odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$37,290Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large congressional district, rated R+18 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus assigning over 95% implied probability to a Republican House election winner on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak, who secured a 39-point margin in 2024, announced her reelection campaign in January and is forgoing the NDGOP endorsement convention to focus on the June 9 Republican primary against challenger Alex Balazs. Democrat Trygve Hammer faces no primary opposition. Absent a primary upset nominating a weaker Republican, major scandal, health issue for the nominee, or unprecedented national Democratic wave, the GOP's structural advantages in this deep-red state sustain the commanding odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$37,290Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Dakota's at-large congressional district, rated R+18 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus assigning over 95% implied probability to a Republican House election winner on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak, who secured a 39-point margin in 2024, announced her reelection campaign in January and is forgoing the NDGOP endorsement convention to focus on the June 9 Republican primary against challenger Alex Balazs. Democrat Trygve Hammer faces no primary opposition. Absent a primary upset nominating a weaker Republican, major scandal, health issue for the nominee, or unprecedented national Democratic wave, the GOP's structural advantages in this deep-red state sustain the commanding odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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