Rhode Island's 1st congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent historical results that favor the party by wide margins. Incumbent Gabe Amo, first elected in 2023 and reelected with 63 percent in 2024, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the September 9, 2026, contest and enters the November general as the clear frontrunner against Republican nominee Kellie Keenan. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 95 percent because the seat has shown little responsiveness to national swings, with no recent polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or major controversies altering the trajectory. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected primary upset, late-breaking personal or ethical issues for the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican performance tied to broader midterm dynamics, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's structural profile.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоRI-01 House Election Winner
RI-01 House Election Winner
$13,011 Обс.
$13,011 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$13,011 Обс.
$13,011 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,040 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$6,971 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rhode Island's 1st congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent historical results that favor the party by wide margins. Incumbent Gabe Amo, first elected in 2023 and reelected with 63 percent in 2024, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the September 9, 2026, contest and enters the November general as the clear frontrunner against Republican nominee Kellie Keenan. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 95 percent because the seat has shown little responsiveness to national swings, with no recent polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or major controversies altering the trajectory. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected primary upset, late-breaking personal or ethical issues for the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican performance tied to broader midterm dynamics, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's structural profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,011Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rhode Island's 1st congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent historical results that favor the party by wide margins. Incumbent Gabe Amo, first elected in 2023 and reelected with 63 percent in 2024, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the September 9, 2026, contest and enters the November general as the clear frontrunner against Republican nominee Kellie Keenan. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 95 percent because the seat has shown little responsiveness to national swings, with no recent polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or major controversies altering the trajectory. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected primary upset, late-breaking personal or ethical issues for the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican performance tied to broader midterm dynamics, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's structural profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$13,011Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rhode Island's 1st congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent historical results that favor the party by wide margins. Incumbent Gabe Amo, first elected in 2023 and reelected with 63 percent in 2024, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the September 9, 2026, contest and enters the November general as the clear frontrunner against Republican nominee Kellie Keenan. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 95 percent because the seat has shown little responsiveness to national swings, with no recent polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or major controversies altering the trajectory. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected primary upset, late-breaking personal or ethical issues for the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican performance tied to broader midterm dynamics, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's structural profile.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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