Lula holds a modest lead in Amapá first-round trading at 56%, with Flávio Bolsonaro at 44.5% and all other candidates at or below 50%, reflecting the tight contest shown in recent state surveys. Incumbent advantages in northern states, combined with steady approval ratings around 50% locally, support Lula’s positioning, while Flávio Bolsonaro draws consolidated right-leaning support and benefits from national polarization. Recent polls, including a late-August Quaest survey, placed Lula at 36% and Flávio at 33%, with substantial undecided and blank votes that could shift outcomes before the October 4 vote. Campaign activity in the region and ongoing national debates over institutions keep the race competitive, as small swings in turnout or late momentum could alter the first-place result within the margin of error.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLula 56%
Flavio Bolsonaro 45%
Hertz Dias <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%
$19,553 Обс.
$19,553 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
56%
Flavio Bolsonaro
45%
Hertz Dias
1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Lula 56%
Flavio Bolsonaro 45%
Hertz Dias <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%
$19,553 Обс.
$19,553 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$4,304 Обс.
56%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$4,112 Обс.
45%
Hertz Dias
$1,272 Обс.
1%
Pablo Marçal
$1,477 Обс.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$750 Обс.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$821 Обс.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$1,086 Обс.
<1%
Renan Santos
$872 Обс.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$1,071 Обс.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$1,024 Обс.
<1%
Samara
$1,020 Обс.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$735 Обс.
<1%
Zema
$1,009 Обс.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a modest lead in Amapá first-round trading at 56%, with Flávio Bolsonaro at 44.5% and all other candidates at or below 50%, reflecting the tight contest shown in recent state surveys. Incumbent advantages in northern states, combined with steady approval ratings around 50% locally, support Lula’s positioning, while Flávio Bolsonaro draws consolidated right-leaning support and benefits from national polarization. Recent polls, including a late-August Quaest survey, placed Lula at 36% and Flávio at 33%, with substantial undecided and blank votes that could shift outcomes before the October 4 vote. Campaign activity in the region and ongoing national debates over institutions keep the race competitive, as small swings in turnout or late momentum could alter the first-place result within the margin of error.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET
Обсяг
$19,553Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a modest lead in Amapá first-round trading at 56%, with Flávio Bolsonaro at 44.5% and all other candidates at or below 50%, reflecting the tight contest shown in recent state surveys. Incumbent advantages in northern states, combined with steady approval ratings around 50% locally, support Lula’s positioning, while Flávio Bolsonaro draws consolidated right-leaning support and benefits from national polarization. Recent polls, including a late-August Quaest survey, placed Lula at 36% and Flávio at 33%, with substantial undecided and blank votes that could shift outcomes before the October 4 vote. Campaign activity in the region and ongoing national debates over institutions keep the race competitive, as small swings in turnout or late momentum could alter the first-place result within the margin of error.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$19,553Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Lula holds a modest lead in Amapá first-round trading at 56%, with Flávio Bolsonaro at 44.5% and all other candidates at or below 50%, reflecting the tight contest shown in recent state surveys. Incumbent advantages in northern states, combined with steady approval ratings around 50% locally, support Lula’s positioning, while Flávio Bolsonaro draws consolidated right-leaning support and benefits from national polarization. Recent polls, including a late-August Quaest survey, placed Lula at 36% and Flávio at 33%, with substantial undecided and blank votes that could shift outcomes before the October 4 vote. Campaign activity in the region and ongoing national debates over institutions keep the race competitive, as small swings in turnout or late momentum could alter the first-place result within the margin of error.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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