In Brazil’s Federal District Senate race, scheduled for October 2026, trader consensus reflects a tight contest for second place among several candidates amid plurality block voting for two seats. Recent polls show Michelle Bolsonaro, Leila do Vôlei, and Erika Kokay clustered near the top, driven by the district’s center-right tilt, polarized voter blocs, and Lula-aligned support for left-leaning contenders. High numbers of undecided voters, shifting endorsements, and potential last-minute campaign moves or alliances continue to compress probabilities across frontrunners. Separation could emerge from stronger polling momentum, official party nominations, or turnout patterns in key regions before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоGuto Felício dos Santos 44%
Professor Guilherme Amorim 44%
Tiago 44%
Leila do Vôlei 44%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Guto Felício dos Santos
44%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
44%
Tiago
44%
Leila do Vôlei
44%
Ronaldo Fonseca
44%
Sebastião Coelho
44%
Zanata
44%
Michelle Bolsonaro
44%
Marley
43%
Erika Kokay
40%
Avenir Rosa
40%
David Horn
40%
Bia Kicis
40%
Guto Felício dos Santos 44%
Professor Guilherme Amorim 44%
Tiago 44%
Leila do Vôlei 44%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Guto Felício dos Santos
$0 Обс.
44%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
$0 Обс.
44%
Tiago
$0 Обс.
44%
Leila do Vôlei
$0 Обс.
44%
Ronaldo Fonseca
$0 Обс.
44%
Sebastião Coelho
$0 Обс.
44%
Zanata
$0 Обс.
44%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$0 Обс.
44%
Marley
$0 Обс.
43%
Erika Kokay
$0 Обс.
40%
Avenir Rosa
$0 Обс.
40%
David Horn
$0 Обс.
40%
Bia Kicis
$0 Обс.
40%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Brazil’s Federal District Senate race, scheduled for October 2026, trader consensus reflects a tight contest for second place among several candidates amid plurality block voting for two seats. Recent polls show Michelle Bolsonaro, Leila do Vôlei, and Erika Kokay clustered near the top, driven by the district’s center-right tilt, polarized voter blocs, and Lula-aligned support for left-leaning contenders. High numbers of undecided voters, shifting endorsements, and potential last-minute campaign moves or alliances continue to compress probabilities across frontrunners. Separation could emerge from stronger polling momentum, official party nominations, or turnout patterns in key regions before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Brazil’s Federal District Senate race, scheduled for October 2026, trader consensus reflects a tight contest for second place among several candidates amid plurality block voting for two seats. Recent polls show Michelle Bolsonaro, Leila do Vôlei, and Erika Kokay clustered near the top, driven by the district’s center-right tilt, polarized voter blocs, and Lula-aligned support for left-leaning contenders. High numbers of undecided voters, shifting endorsements, and potential last-minute campaign moves or alliances continue to compress probabilities across frontrunners. Separation could emerge from stronger polling momentum, official party nominations, or turnout patterns in key regions before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Brazil’s Federal District Senate race, scheduled for October 2026, trader consensus reflects a tight contest for second place among several candidates amid plurality block voting for two seats. Recent polls show Michelle Bolsonaro, Leila do Vôlei, and Erika Kokay clustered near the top, driven by the district’s center-right tilt, polarized voter blocs, and Lula-aligned support for left-leaning contenders. High numbers of undecided voters, shifting endorsements, and potential last-minute campaign moves or alliances continue to compress probabilities across frontrunners. Separation could emerge from stronger polling momentum, official party nominations, or turnout patterns in key regions before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання