Lula maintains a commanding position in Maranhão for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, reflecting sustained regional backing in the Northeast where the incumbent has historically drawn strong voter support from key demographics and aligned local networks. Recent Quaest polling conducted in late August showed Lula at 58% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 20%, with all other listed candidates at 2% or below and notable undecided or blank shares. Trader consensus aligns with these patterns, pricing in limited near-term shifts ahead of the October 4 vote. Potential challengers would require major campaign momentum, candidate consolidation, or turnout changes among opposition bases to narrow the gap substantially.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Maranhão
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Maranhão
Lula 96.6%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.1%
Hertz Dias <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
97%
Flavio Bolsonaro
1%
Hertz Dias
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Samara
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%
Renan Santos
1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Zema
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Lula 96.6%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.1%
Hertz Dias <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$4,150 Обс.
97%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$504 Обс.
1%
Hertz Dias
$467 Обс.
1%
Pablo Marçal
$467 Обс.
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$387 Обс.
1%
Samara
$385 Обс.
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$385 Обс.
1%
Renan Santos
$413 Обс.
1%
Edmilson Costa
$467 Обс.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$467 Обс.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$467 Обс.
<1%
Zema
$385 Обс.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$422 Обс.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding position in Maranhão for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, reflecting sustained regional backing in the Northeast where the incumbent has historically drawn strong voter support from key demographics and aligned local networks. Recent Quaest polling conducted in late August showed Lula at 58% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 20%, with all other listed candidates at 2% or below and notable undecided or blank shares. Trader consensus aligns with these patterns, pricing in limited near-term shifts ahead of the October 4 vote. Potential challengers would require major campaign momentum, candidate consolidation, or turnout changes among opposition bases to narrow the gap substantially.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,365Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding position in Maranhão for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, reflecting sustained regional backing in the Northeast where the incumbent has historically drawn strong voter support from key demographics and aligned local networks. Recent Quaest polling conducted in late August showed Lula at 58% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 20%, with all other listed candidates at 2% or below and notable undecided or blank shares. Trader consensus aligns with these patterns, pricing in limited near-term shifts ahead of the October 4 vote. Potential challengers would require major campaign momentum, candidate consolidation, or turnout changes among opposition bases to narrow the gap substantially.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$9,365Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding position in Maranhão for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, reflecting sustained regional backing in the Northeast where the incumbent has historically drawn strong voter support from key demographics and aligned local networks. Recent Quaest polling conducted in late August showed Lula at 58% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 20%, with all other listed candidates at 2% or below and notable undecided or blank shares. Trader consensus aligns with these patterns, pricing in limited near-term shifts ahead of the October 4 vote. Potential challengers would require major campaign momentum, candidate consolidation, or turnout changes among opposition bases to narrow the gap substantially.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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