Recent statements from Otzma Yehudit leader Itamar Ben-Gvir have ruled out a joint electoral list with Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionist Party ahead of the 2026 Knesset vote, citing fundamental differences in voter bases and policy approaches. RZP proceeded with its own primaries and candidate list in late July, submitting details independently to the Central Elections Committee. Netanyahu has publicly urged the parties to merge to avoid wasting right-wing votes below the 3.25% threshold, but Ben-Gvir rejected the call and signaled separate runs. Late-August polls project RZP near or below the threshold while Otzma Yehudit clears it independently, reinforcing trader expectations that no joint slate will form before the September deadline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIsrael Election: Otzma Yehudit & RZP Run on Same List?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...Recent statements from Otzma Yehudit leader Itamar Ben-Gvir have ruled out a joint electoral list with Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionist Party ahead of the 2026 Knesset vote, citing fundamental differences in voter bases and policy approaches. RZP proceeded with its own primaries and candidate list in late July, submitting details independently to the Central Elections Committee. Netanyahu has publicly urged the parties to merge to avoid wasting right-wing votes below the 3.25% threshold, but Ben-Gvir rejected the call and signaled separate runs. Late-August polls project RZP near or below the threshold while Otzma Yehudit clears it independently, reinforcing trader expectations that no joint slate will form before the September deadline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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