Skip to main content
icon for Виступ Мойтаби Хаменеї на публіці...?
Геополітика·Близький Схід

Виступ Мойтаби Хаменеї на публіці...?

icon for Виступ Мойтаби Хаменеї на публіці...?
Геополітика·Близький Схід

Виступ Мойтаби Хаменеї на публіці...?

$6,649,595 Обс.

Aug 31, 2026
Polymarket

$6,649,595 Обс.

Polymarket

August 31

$402,401 Обс.

6%

September 30

$253,932 Обс.

15%

December 31

$406,883 Обс.

27%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in March 2026 following his father's death in U.S.-Israeli strikes and has since maintained a low public profile amid ongoing security threats and unconfirmed reports of injuries sustained in the attack. Iranian state media released an undated short video of him on August 10, 2026, prompting speculation that it may be older footage rather than evidence of a new appearance, while he has skipped major events including family funerals and annual commemorations. Trader consensus on near-term resolution dates reflects this extended absence and doubts over verifiable new footage or in-person sightings, tempered by the regime's preference for controlled messaging during a period of regional tensions and internal uncertainty over leadership visibility.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Обсяг
$6,649,595
Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in March 2026 following his father's death in U.S.-Israeli strikes and has since maintained a low public profile amid ongoing security threats and unconfirmed reports of injuries sustained in the attack. Iranian state media released an undated short video of him on August 10, 2026, prompting speculation that it may be older footage rather than evidence of a new appearance, while he has skipped major events including family funerals and annual commemorations. Trader consensus on near-term resolution dates reflects this extended absence and doubts over verifiable new footage or in-person sightings, tempered by the regime's preference for controlled messaging during a period of regional tensions and internal uncertainty over leadership visibility.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Обсяг
$6,649,595
Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

Пов'язане

icon for Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?

Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?

1%
icon for Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?

5%
icon for Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?

Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?

31%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Виступ Мойтаби Хаменеї на публіці...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 13 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «December 31» з 27%, далі «September 30» з 15%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Виступ Мойтаби Хаменеї на публіці...?» згенерував $6.6 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Mar 9, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Виступ Мойтаби Хаменеї на публіці...?», перегляньте 13 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Виступ Мойтаби Хаменеї на публіці...?» — «December 31» з 27%. Наступний — «September 30» з 15%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Виступ Мойтаби Хаменеї на публіці...?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.