Recent polling shows Moshe Feiglin’s Zehut, already allied with Michael Ben-Ari, stuck below the electoral threshold at roughly 1.3–1.7 percent, while Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael, launched August 25 with a distinct slate featuring Yoseph Haddad, polls in the four-to-eight-seat range and targets overlapping right-wing voters. Feiglin expressed interest in talks with Winter before publicly denying them amid a leaked recording, and Prime Minister Netanyahu has pressed smaller right-wing parties to merge or withdraw to avoid splitting the vote. With candidate lists due September 8 ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, the absence of any confirmed joint list or binding agreement underpins trader consensus favoring a “No” outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...Recent polling shows Moshe Feiglin’s Zehut, already allied with Michael Ben-Ari, stuck below the electoral threshold at roughly 1.3–1.7 percent, while Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael, launched August 25 with a distinct slate featuring Yoseph Haddad, polls in the four-to-eight-seat range and targets overlapping right-wing voters. Feiglin expressed interest in talks with Winter before publicly denying them amid a leaked recording, and Prime Minister Netanyahu has pressed smaller right-wing parties to merge or withdraw to avoid splitting the vote. With candidate lists due September 8 ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, the absence of any confirmed joint list or binding agreement underpins trader consensus favoring a “No” outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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