Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow edge in popular support around 28-30 percent, translating into seat projections averaging near 48 with wide ranges of roughly 29-69 under the new 127-seat map, though a majority remains improbable. A late-August Synopsis survey indicated the CAQ closing to statistical parity at 27 percent amid rising concerns over U.S. trade tensions, drawing support from Liberal voters and tightening competition in francophone ridings where the PQ holds efficiency advantages. Voter fluidity across five viable parties, combined with the campaign's early stage and regional concentration patterns, sustains broad uncertainty in seat outcomes. Further polling trends, economic messaging on trade stability, and turnout differentials could shift the distribution before October 5.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено<50 26%
50-54 19%
55-59 13%
70-74 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 5, 2026
<50
21%
50-54
19%
55-59
13%
60-64
8%
65-69
9%
70-74
11%
75-79
3%
80+
4%
<50 26%
50-54 19%
55-59 13%
70-74 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 5, 2026
<50
$1,083 Обс.
21%
50-54
$926 Обс.
19%
55-59
$423 Обс.
13%
60-64
$775 Обс.
8%
65-69
$2,544 Обс.
9%
70-74
$1,706 Обс.
11%
75-79
$956 Обс.
3%
80+
$839 Обс.
4%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow edge in popular support around 28-30 percent, translating into seat projections averaging near 48 with wide ranges of roughly 29-69 under the new 127-seat map, though a majority remains improbable. A late-August Synopsis survey indicated the CAQ closing to statistical parity at 27 percent amid rising concerns over U.S. trade tensions, drawing support from Liberal voters and tightening competition in francophone ridings where the PQ holds efficiency advantages. Voter fluidity across five viable parties, combined with the campaign's early stage and regional concentration patterns, sustains broad uncertainty in seat outcomes. Further polling trends, economic messaging on trade stability, and turnout differentials could shift the distribution before October 5.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,252Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow edge in popular support around 28-30 percent, translating into seat projections averaging near 48 with wide ranges of roughly 29-69 under the new 127-seat map, though a majority remains improbable. A late-August Synopsis survey indicated the CAQ closing to statistical parity at 27 percent amid rising concerns over U.S. trade tensions, drawing support from Liberal voters and tightening competition in francophone ridings where the PQ holds efficiency advantages. Voter fluidity across five viable parties, combined with the campaign's early stage and regional concentration patterns, sustains broad uncertainty in seat outcomes. Further polling trends, economic messaging on trade stability, and turnout differentials could shift the distribution before October 5.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Обсяг
$9,252Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow edge in popular support around 28-30 percent, translating into seat projections averaging near 48 with wide ranges of roughly 29-69 under the new 127-seat map, though a majority remains improbable. A late-August Synopsis survey indicated the CAQ closing to statistical parity at 27 percent amid rising concerns over U.S. trade tensions, drawing support from Liberal voters and tightening competition in francophone ridings where the PQ holds efficiency advantages. Voter fluidity across five viable parties, combined with the campaign's early stage and regional concentration patterns, sustains broad uncertainty in seat outcomes. Further polling trends, economic messaging on trade stability, and turnout differentials could shift the distribution before October 5.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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