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Геополітика·світові справи

Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?

icon for Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?
Геополітика·світові справи

Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?

Jun 30

Dec 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

Так

7% шанс
Polymarket

$9,242,398 Обс.

Так

7% шанс
Polymarket

$9,242,398 Обс.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Chinese President Xi Jinping's active hosting of U.S. President Trump for a high-stakes bilateral summit in Beijing on May 13, 2026—covering topics like Iran and trade—underscores his firm grip on power, driving trader consensus to a 92.7% implied probability he remains in office through 2027. Recent military purges, including death sentences with reprieve for two former defense ministers Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu issued around May 7, signal ongoing anti-corruption efforts that further consolidate Xi's control over the People's Liberation Army and Communist Party apparatus. Absent any verified health issues, leadership challenges, or official announcements of resignation since March's Two Sessions, markets reflect stability ahead of the 21st Party Congress in late 2027, where Xi is positioned for continuity despite historical norms against indefinite terms.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$9,242,398
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Chinese President Xi Jinping's active hosting of U.S. President Trump for a high-stakes bilateral summit in Beijing on May 13, 2026—covering topics like Iran and trade—underscores his firm grip on power, driving trader consensus to a 92.7% implied probability he remains in office through 2027. Recent military purges, including death sentences with reprieve for two former defense ministers Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu issued around May 7, signal ongoing anti-corruption efforts that further consolidate Xi's control over the People's Liberation Army and Communist Party apparatus. Absent any verified health issues, leadership challenges, or official announcements of resignation since March's Two Sessions, markets reflect stability ahead of the 21st Party Congress in late 2027, where Xi is positioned for continuity despite historical norms against indefinite terms.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$9,242,398
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Сі Цзіньпін піде до 2027 року?» з 7%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?» згенерував $9.2 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 3, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Це відкритий ринок. Поточний лідер для «Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?» — «Сі Цзіньпін піде до 2027 року?» лише з 7%. Жоден результат не має впевненої більшості — трейдери вважають це дуже невизначеним.

Правила вирішення для «Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.