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Геополітика·Сирія

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

icon for Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Геополітика·Сирія

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

$781,288 Обс.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$781,288 Обс.

Polymarket
icon for Lebanon

Lebanon

$115,135 Обс.

10%

icon for Venezuela

Venezuela

$361,218 Обс.

9%

icon for Tunisia

Tunisia

$12,518 Обс.

7%

icon for Kuwait

Kuwait

$16,930 Обс.

7%

icon for Iraq

Iraq

$13,527 Обс.

6%

icon for Indonesia

Indonesia

$21,327 Обс.

5%

icon for Pakistan

Pakistan

$9,947 Обс.

5%

icon for Syria

Syria

$22,052 Обс.

5%

icon for North Korea

North Korea

$20,336 Обс.

4%

icon for Iran

Iran

$16,734 Обс.

4%

icon for Cuba

Cuba

$13,377 Обс.

4%

icon for Afghanistan

Afghanistan

$20,787 Обс.

4%

icon for Qatar

Qatar

$37,888 Обс.

4%

icon for Bangladesh

Bangladesh

$15,687 Обс.

3%

icon for Malaysia

Malaysia

$13,354 Обс.

3%

icon for Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia

$70,471 Обс.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic normalization with Israel remains anchored in the Abraham Accords framework, with existing ties to the UAE, Bahrain, and Morocco holding steady despite regional tensions. Trader focus centers on potential additions among non-recognizing states, particularly Saudi Arabia, where normalization is explicitly conditioned on an irreversible path to Palestinian statehood along 1967 borders, and Syria, where post-Assad security talks since late 2025 have advanced toward a possible agreement. US diplomatic pressure, including linkage of Saudi nuclear cooperation to recognition, continues amid ongoing Iran-related conflicts and Palestinian statehood recognitions by several Western nations in 2025. No major new bilateral recognitions have occurred in 2026, leaving outcomes dependent on progress in Palestinian negotiations or security pacts before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$781,288
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic normalization with Israel remains anchored in the Abraham Accords framework, with existing ties to the UAE, Bahrain, and Morocco holding steady despite regional tensions. Trader focus centers on potential additions among non-recognizing states, particularly Saudi Arabia, where normalization is explicitly conditioned on an irreversible path to Palestinian statehood along 1967 borders, and Syria, where post-Assad security talks since late 2025 have advanced toward a possible agreement. US diplomatic pressure, including linkage of Saudi nuclear cooperation to recognition, continues amid ongoing Iran-related conflicts and Palestinian statehood recognitions by several Western nations in 2025. No major new bilateral recognitions have occurred in 2026, leaving outcomes dependent on progress in Palestinian negotiations or security pacts before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$781,288
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Пов'язане

icon for Чи визнає Бельгія Палестину до 2027 року?

Чи визнає Бельгія Палестину до 2027 року?

17%
Так
icon for Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

34%
icon for Ізраїль та Індонезія нормалізують відносини до 31 грудня 2026 року?

Ізраїль та Індонезія нормалізують відносини до 31 грудня 2026 року?

7%
Так

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 16 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Lebanon» з 10%, далі «Venezuela» з 9%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?» згенерував $781.3K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jun 1, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?», перегляньте 16 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?» — «Lebanon» з 10%. Наступний — «Venezuela» з 9%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.