International pressure on Lebanon to implement Hezbollah disarmament under the stalled US-brokered trilateral framework has intensified, with the EU, United States, and regional actors urging concrete steps to place all weapons under state control by year-end. Hezbollah and allied ministers have rejected Phase II of the plan north of the Litani River, staged cabinet walkouts over US proposals, and conditioned any moves on prior Israeli withdrawal. The Lebanese Armed Forces have advanced limited pilot-zone operations but face resistance and verification disputes, while reports indicate Hezbollah is rebuilding capabilities amid ongoing Israeli operations and threats of escalation. These entrenched sequencing disagreements and domestic political divisions sustain low trader probabilities for near-term official announcements of disarmament.
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