Skip to main content
icon for Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

icon for Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

14% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
14% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Nawaf Salam remains Lebanon’s prime minister as of mid-2026, actively leading negotiations with Israel, coordinating responses to cross-border strikes, and advancing reform priorities alongside President Joseph Aoun.** Appointed in early 2025 after winning broad parliamentary backing, Salam has maintained cabinet cohesion while managing ceasefire implementation, UN complaints over Israeli actions, and economic recovery efforts. Parliamentary elections scheduled for May 2026 represent the main near-term variable that could alter coalition dynamics or prompt a new government formation, yet Salam has publicly tied his own continuation to sustained reform momentum rather than signaling an early exit. Trader consensus favoring stability through year-end reflects the absence of major domestic challenges to his mandate, ongoing international diplomatic engagement, and the structural continuity typical of Lebanese cabinets between elections. Regional security developments have so far reinforced rather than undermined his position.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$791
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Nawaf Salam remains Lebanon’s prime minister as of mid-2026, actively leading negotiations with Israel, coordinating responses to cross-border strikes, and advancing reform priorities alongside President Joseph Aoun.** Appointed in early 2025 after winning broad parliamentary backing, Salam has maintained cabinet cohesion while managing ceasefire implementation, UN complaints over Israeli actions, and economic recovery efforts. Parliamentary elections scheduled for May 2026 represent the main near-term variable that could alter coalition dynamics or prompt a new government formation, yet Salam has publicly tied his own continuation to sustained reform momentum rather than signaling an early exit. Trader consensus favoring stability through year-end reflects the absence of major domestic challenges to his mandate, ongoing international diplomatic engagement, and the structural continuity typical of Lebanese cabinets between elections. Regional security developments have so far reinforced rather than undermined his position.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$791
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 23% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 23¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 23%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Apr 20, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?» — 23% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 23% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.