**The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has remained operational with essential personnel only since the State Department ordered the departure of non-emergency staff and family members on February 23, 2026, citing regional security risks tied to Iran-related tensions and Hezbollah threats.** This partial drawdown reduced the footprint while preserving core diplomatic functions, and the Level 4 “Do Not Travel” advisory has stayed in effect through September 2026. Recent developments include continued U.S. diplomatic engagement, such as Ambassador Michel Issa’s mid-September visits to southern Lebanon to assess pilot zones under Lebanese army control and support stability efforts amid ongoing Israel-Hezbollah frictions and U.S.-brokered talks. No official announcements or credible reporting indicate plans for a full embassy evacuation or closure. Trader sentiment reflects the absence of new escalatory catalysts that would historically precede such a step, while noting that any sharp deterioration in southern Lebanon, renewed Iran-related threats, or major attacks could prompt further adjustments. Resolution hinges on confirmed U.S. government statements or reporting of a complete drawdown.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
$119,473 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
7%
$119,473 Обс.
December 31
$25,371 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. **The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has remained operational with essential personnel only since the State Department ordered the departure of non-emergency staff and family members on February 23, 2026, citing regional security risks tied to Iran-related tensions and Hezbollah threats.**
This partial drawdown reduced the footprint while preserving core diplomatic functions, and the Level 4 “Do Not Travel” advisory has stayed in effect through September 2026. Recent developments include continued U.S. diplomatic engagement, such as Ambassador Michel Issa’s mid-September visits to southern Lebanon to assess pilot zones under Lebanese army control and support stability efforts amid ongoing Israel-Hezbollah frictions and U.S.-brokered talks. No official announcements or credible reporting indicate plans for a full embassy evacuation or closure. Trader sentiment reflects the absence of new escalatory catalysts that would historically precede such a step, while noting that any sharp deterioration in southern Lebanon, renewed Iran-related threats, or major attacks could prompt further adjustments. Resolution hinges on confirmed U.S. government statements or reporting of a complete drawdown.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Обсяг
$119,473Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. **The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has remained operational with essential personnel only since the State Department ordered the departure of non-emergency staff and family members on February 23, 2026, citing regional security risks tied to Iran-related tensions and Hezbollah threats.**
This partial drawdown reduced the footprint while preserving core diplomatic functions, and the Level 4 “Do Not Travel” advisory has stayed in effect through September 2026. Recent developments include continued U.S. diplomatic engagement, such as Ambassador Michel Issa’s mid-September visits to southern Lebanon to assess pilot zones under Lebanese army control and support stability efforts amid ongoing Israel-Hezbollah frictions and U.S.-brokered talks. No official announcements or credible reporting indicate plans for a full embassy evacuation or closure. Trader sentiment reflects the absence of new escalatory catalysts that would historically precede such a step, while noting that any sharp deterioration in southern Lebanon, renewed Iran-related threats, or major attacks could prompt further adjustments. Resolution hinges on confirmed U.S. government statements or reporting of a complete drawdown.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Обсяг
$119,473Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...**The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has remained operational with essential personnel only since the State Department ordered the departure of non-emergency staff and family members on February 23, 2026, citing regional security risks tied to Iran-related tensions and Hezbollah threats.** This partial drawdown reduced the footprint while preserving core diplomatic functions, and the Level 4 “Do Not Travel” advisory has stayed in effect through September 2026. Recent developments include continued U.S. diplomatic engagement, such as Ambassador Michel Issa’s mid-September visits to southern Lebanon to assess pilot zones under Lebanese army control and support stability efforts amid ongoing Israel-Hezbollah frictions and U.S.-brokered talks. No official announcements or credible reporting indicate plans for a full embassy evacuation or closure. Trader sentiment reflects the absence of new escalatory catalysts that would historically precede such a step, while noting that any sharp deterioration in southern Lebanon, renewed Iran-related threats, or major attacks could prompt further adjustments. Resolution hinges on confirmed U.S. government statements or reporting of a complete drawdown.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання