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Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

icon for Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

<1% шанс
Polymarket

$5,222 Обс.

<1% шанс
Polymarket

$5,222 Обс.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party. 2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count. If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance. If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Benny Gantz has publicly criticized the Bennett-Lapid Together alliance formed in late April 2026, stating that it fragments the opposition and weakens prospects for replacing the Netanyahu government in the October elections. Gantz's Blue and White party continues to operate independently, with no reported negotiations or shifts in position as the June 30 deadline approaches in roughly two weeks. Traders assign a 98.8% probability to "No" based on this sustained separation and the absence of catalytic developments. A last-minute merger remains possible only through rapid diplomatic outreach among centrist leaders or new polling data highlighting the risks of a divided anti-Netanyahu bloc, though such an outcome appears unlikely given the short timeline and entrenched positions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party.
2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election.

Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance.

If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$5,222
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party. 2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count. If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance. If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party. 2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count. If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance. If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Benny Gantz has publicly criticized the Bennett-Lapid Together alliance formed in late April 2026, stating that it fragments the opposition and weakens prospects for replacing the Netanyahu government in the October elections. Gantz's Blue and White party continues to operate independently, with no reported negotiations or shifts in position as the June 30 deadline approaches in roughly two weeks. Traders assign a 98.8% probability to "No" based on this sustained separation and the absence of catalytic developments. A last-minute merger remains possible only through rapid diplomatic outreach among centrist leaders or new polling data highlighting the risks of a divided anti-Netanyahu bloc, though such an outcome appears unlikely given the short timeline and entrenched positions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party.
2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election.

Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance.

If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$5,222
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party. 2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count. If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance. If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 1% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 1¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 1%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Apr 29, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?» — 1% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 1% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

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