Yemen's Houthis launched a drone toward Eilat on May 12—the first such attack since early April—prompting Israeli interception with no damage reported, amid a relative lull following their March 28 resumption of ballistic missile strikes on Israel after the 2025 Gaza ceasefire pause. These actions, coordinated with Iran and Hezbollah, have heightened Red Sea tensions and shipping disruptions, but Israel has conducted no verified airstrikes on Yemen in the past 28 days despite prior retaliations. Traders assess low near-term escalation risk given Israel's focus on northern fronts like Lebanon, though further Houthi barrages or US naval maneuvers could trigger response before any market resolution date. Ongoing diplomatic signals from Tehran and proxy rhetoric remain key wildcards.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоВійськові дії Ізраїлю проти Ємену шляхом...?
Військові дії Ізраїлю проти Ємену шляхом...?
$1,730,642 Обс.
May 31, 2026
31 травня
9%
30 червня
19%
$1,730,642 Обс.
31 травня
$114,553 Обс.
9%
30 червня
$463,079 Обс.
19%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Houthis launched a drone toward Eilat on May 12—the first such attack since early April—prompting Israeli interception with no damage reported, amid a relative lull following their March 28 resumption of ballistic missile strikes on Israel after the 2025 Gaza ceasefire pause. These actions, coordinated with Iran and Hezbollah, have heightened Red Sea tensions and shipping disruptions, but Israel has conducted no verified airstrikes on Yemen in the past 28 days despite prior retaliations. Traders assess low near-term escalation risk given Israel's focus on northern fronts like Lebanon, though further Houthi barrages or US naval maneuvers could trigger response before any market resolution date. Ongoing diplomatic signals from Tehran and proxy rhetoric remain key wildcards.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 18, 2026, 1:43 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,730,642Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 18, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Houthis launched a drone toward Eilat on May 12—the first such attack since early April—prompting Israeli interception with no damage reported, amid a relative lull following their March 28 resumption of ballistic missile strikes on Israel after the 2025 Gaza ceasefire pause. These actions, coordinated with Iran and Hezbollah, have heightened Red Sea tensions and shipping disruptions, but Israel has conducted no verified airstrikes on Yemen in the past 28 days despite prior retaliations. Traders assess low near-term escalation risk given Israel's focus on northern fronts like Lebanon, though further Houthi barrages or US naval maneuvers could trigger response before any market resolution date. Ongoing diplomatic signals from Tehran and proxy rhetoric remain key wildcards.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$1,730,642Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 18, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Houthis launched a drone toward Eilat on May 12—the first such attack since early April—prompting Israeli interception with no damage reported, amid a relative lull following their March 28 resumption of ballistic missile strikes on Israel after the 2025 Gaza ceasefire pause. These actions, coordinated with Iran and Hezbollah, have heightened Red Sea tensions and shipping disruptions, but Israel has conducted no verified airstrikes on Yemen in the past 28 days despite prior retaliations. Traders assess low near-term escalation risk given Israel's focus on northern fronts like Lebanon, though further Houthi barrages or US naval maneuvers could trigger response before any market resolution date. Ongoing diplomatic signals from Tehran and proxy rhetoric remain key wildcards.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання