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Геополітика·Ізраїль

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

icon for Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
Геополітика·Ізраїль

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

$329,594 Обс.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$329,594 Обс.

Polymarket
icon for North Korea

North Korea

$30,304 Обс.

3%

icon for Cuba

Cuba

$47,290 Обс.

1%

icon for Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia

$19,169 Обс.

3%

icon for Lebanon

Lebanon

$44,396 Обс.

4%

icon for Afghanistan

Afghanistan

$17,200 Обс.

1%

icon for Iraq

Iraq

$26,409 Обс.

2%

icon for Pakistan

Pakistan

$7,225 Обс.

1%

icon for Syria

Syria

$12,783 Обс.

3%

icon for Venezuela

Venezuela

$86,323 Обс.

2%

icon for Tunisia

Tunisia

$1,238 Обс.

1%

icon for Kuwait

Kuwait

$1,511 Обс.

3%

icon for Qatar

Qatar

$2,244 Обс.

2%

icon for Indonesia

Indonesia

$9,063 Обс.

1%

icon for Malaysia

Malaysia

$22,158 Обс.

1%

icon for Bangladesh

Bangladesh

$2,280 Обс.

3%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel maintains formal diplomatic recognition from 163 of 193 UN member states as of early 2026, with approximately 28-30 holdouts—primarily Muslim-majority nations including Saudi Arabia, Lebanon, Syria, Iran, Algeria, Pakistan, and Indonesia—opposed amid the unresolved Israeli-Palestinian conflict. No new recognitions have occurred since the market's November 20, 2025, launch, despite Israel's January 2026 recognition of Somaliland, which elicited regional backlash but no reciprocation. Ongoing Gaza hostilities, Hezbollah-Israel border tensions, and stalled Saudi normalization talks conditioned on Palestinian statehood progress sustain diplomatic inertia. Upcoming Lebanon-Israel indirect negotiations focus on ceasefires rather than recognition, while Saudi-U.S. diplomacy remains uncertain before the June 30 deadline.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$329,594
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel maintains formal diplomatic recognition from 163 of 193 UN member states as of early 2026, with approximately 28-30 holdouts—primarily Muslim-majority nations including Saudi Arabia, Lebanon, Syria, Iran, Algeria, Pakistan, and Indonesia—opposed amid the unresolved Israeli-Palestinian conflict. No new recognitions have occurred since the market's November 20, 2025, launch, despite Israel's January 2026 recognition of Somaliland, which elicited regional backlash but no reciprocation. Ongoing Gaza hostilities, Hezbollah-Israel border tensions, and stalled Saudi normalization talks conditioned on Palestinian statehood progress sustain diplomatic inertia. Upcoming Lebanon-Israel indirect negotiations focus on ceasefires rather than recognition, while Saudi-U.S. diplomacy remains uncertain before the June 30 deadline.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$329,594
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 15 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Lebanon» з 4%, далі «North Korea» з 3%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?» згенерував $329.6K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 20, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?», перегляньте 15 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Це відкритий ринок. Поточний лідер для «Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?» — «Lebanon» лише з 4%, а «North Korea» — близько позаду з 3%. Жоден результат не має впевненої більшості — трейдери вважають це дуже невизначеним.

Правила вирішення для «Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.