This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's ruling coalition submitted a Knesset dissolution bill on May 13, 2026, preempting opposition initiatives amid ultra-Orthodox parties' threats to withdraw support over stalled military draft exemptions for yeshiva students. This Haredi mutiny has jeopardized the government's slim majority, forcing a bid to control snap election timing before the October 27 deadline, with polls favoring early September. A preliminary plenum vote is slated for next week, requiring subsequent committee deliberations and three readings for 61 votes to pass, triggering elections at least 90 days later. Coalition cohesion and legislative pace remain pivotal uncertainties shaping trader assessments of dissolution prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's ruling coalition submitted a Knesset dissolution bill on May 13, 2026, preempting opposition initiatives amid ultra-Orthodox parties' threats to withdraw support over stalled military draft exemptions for yeshiva students. This Haredi mutiny has jeopardized the government's slim majority, forcing a bid to control snap election timing before the October 27 deadline, with polls favoring early September. A preliminary plenum vote is slated for next week, requiring subsequent committee deliberations and three readings for 61 votes to pass, triggering elections at least 90 days later. Coalition cohesion and legislative pace remain pivotal uncertainties shaping trader assessments of dissolution prospects.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
May 13 2026
Limited travel through Rafah crossing resumes amid ceasefire talks
The partial reopening of the Rafah crossing was interpreted as progress in the ceasefire’s second phase, reducing urgency for a political reset and causing the market’s May‑31 probability to fall while the June‑30 outlook rose sharply.
Apr 25 2026
Netanyahu convenes cabinet on settler violence in the West Bank
June 30 dips to 40%4%
Prime Minister Netanyahu met with top security officials to address rising Israeli settler violence in the West Bank, signaling government focus on security and internal stability rather than political upheaval. This meeting reassured markets about political continuity, contributing to price declines for early dissolution outcomes.
Apr 18 2026
UNRWA demolition sparks international criticism and protests
The demolition led to widespread condemnation and protests, increasing domestic political pressure on Netanyahu’s coalition and causing a sharp drop in the market’s confidence that the Knesset would survive until June, pulling the price down sharply.
Apr 4 2026
Netanyahu convenes cabinet on rising settler violence in the West Bank
June 30 drops to 12%8%
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with top security officials to address escalating Israeli settler violence in the West Bank, including attacks causing injuries and property damage. The meeting highlighted ongoing security challenges but did not indicate any parliamentary dissolution, reflecting continued political tensions without triggering a government collapse.
Apr 2 2026
Iran protests erupt over currency plunge and economic woes
June 30 drops to 11%6%
Widespread protests in Iran over economic conditions and currency collapse increased regional instability, potentially influencing Israeli political dynamics and market perceptions of parliamentary dissolution likelihood.
Mar 25 2026
Israeli UNRWA sites in East Jerusalem targeted and demolished
June 30 plunges to 17%23%
Israel enforced a new law banning UNRWA operations in East Jerusalem, escalating tensions and reflecting ongoing political strife that could impact government stability and parliamentary actions.
Mar 6 2026
Federal judge bars Arizona from prosecuting Kalshi prediction market operator
June 30 surges to 66%25%
A federal judge temporarily blocked Arizona from enforcing gambling laws against Kalshi, a prediction market platform, highlighting regulatory uncertainty that may influence market perceptions of political event outcomes including Israeli parliamentary dissolution.
Mar 6 2026
Netanyahu approves $35 billion gas export deal to Egypt
The historic gas agreement was presented as a boost to Israel’s economy and regional standing, improving the governing coalition’s prospects and reducing immediate pressure for a snap election, which helped lift the June‑30 probability.
Feb 15 2026
Israeli military launches operation to locate last hostage in Gaza
June 30 drops to 35%5%
Israel intensified efforts to recover the remains of the last hostage in Gaza, reflecting ongoing conflict and political pressures that may affect government stability and parliamentary decisions.
Feb 11 2026
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu convenes cabinet on rising settler violence in West Bank
June 30 plunges to 40%15%
Netanyahu met with security officials to address increasing Israeli settler violence in the West Bank, highlighting internal political tensions and security concerns that could impact government stability and parliamentary actions.
Feb 11 2026
Israel demolishes UNRWA sites in East Jerusalem amid legal battle
The Israeli Foreign Ministry confirmed demolition of UNRWA facilities, heightening diplomatic tensions and raising speculation that the government might call early elections to consolidate support, nudging the market toward a later dissolution date.
Jan 28 2026
Israel launches large‑scale operation to locate last Gaza hostage
Prime Minister Netanyahu announced a major military effort to recover the final Israeli hostage, a step seen as prerequisite for moving to the second phase of the U.S.‑brokered ceasefire, which could delay any parliamentary dissolution until after the June‑30 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's ruling coalition submitted a Knesset dissolution bill on May 13, 2026, preempting opposition initiatives amid ultra-Orthodox parties' threats to withdraw support over stalled military draft exemptions for yeshiva students. This Haredi mutiny has jeopardized the government's slim majority, forcing a bid to control snap election timing before the October 27 deadline, with polls favoring early September. A preliminary plenum vote is slated for next week, requiring subsequent committee deliberations and three readings for 61 votes to pass, triggering elections at least 90 days later. Coalition cohesion and legislative pace remain pivotal uncertainties shaping trader assessments of dissolution prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's ruling coalition submitted a Knesset dissolution bill on May 13, 2026, preempting opposition initiatives amid ultra-Orthodox parties' threats to withdraw support over stalled military draft exemptions for yeshiva students. This Haredi mutiny has jeopardized the government's slim majority, forcing a bid to control snap election timing before the October 27 deadline, with polls favoring early September. A preliminary plenum vote is slated for next week, requiring subsequent committee deliberations and three readings for 61 votes to pass, triggering elections at least 90 days later. Coalition cohesion and legislative pace remain pivotal uncertainties shaping trader assessments of dissolution prospects.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
May 13 2026
Limited travel through Rafah crossing resumes amid ceasefire talks
The partial reopening of the Rafah crossing was interpreted as progress in the ceasefire’s second phase, reducing urgency for a political reset and causing the market’s May‑31 probability to fall while the June‑30 outlook rose sharply.
Apr 25 2026
Netanyahu convenes cabinet on settler violence in the West Bank
June 30 dips to 40%4%
Prime Minister Netanyahu met with top security officials to address rising Israeli settler violence in the West Bank, signaling government focus on security and internal stability rather than political upheaval. This meeting reassured markets about political continuity, contributing to price declines for early dissolution outcomes.
Apr 18 2026
UNRWA demolition sparks international criticism and protests
The demolition led to widespread condemnation and protests, increasing domestic political pressure on Netanyahu’s coalition and causing a sharp drop in the market’s confidence that the Knesset would survive until June, pulling the price down sharply.
Apr 4 2026
Netanyahu convenes cabinet on rising settler violence in the West Bank
June 30 drops to 12%8%
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with top security officials to address escalating Israeli settler violence in the West Bank, including attacks causing injuries and property damage. The meeting highlighted ongoing security challenges but did not indicate any parliamentary dissolution, reflecting continued political tensions without triggering a government collapse.
Apr 2 2026
Iran protests erupt over currency plunge and economic woes
June 30 drops to 11%6%
Widespread protests in Iran over economic conditions and currency collapse increased regional instability, potentially influencing Israeli political dynamics and market perceptions of parliamentary dissolution likelihood.
Mar 25 2026
Israeli UNRWA sites in East Jerusalem targeted and demolished
June 30 plunges to 17%23%
Israel enforced a new law banning UNRWA operations in East Jerusalem, escalating tensions and reflecting ongoing political strife that could impact government stability and parliamentary actions.
Mar 6 2026
Federal judge bars Arizona from prosecuting Kalshi prediction market operator
June 30 surges to 66%25%
A federal judge temporarily blocked Arizona from enforcing gambling laws against Kalshi, a prediction market platform, highlighting regulatory uncertainty that may influence market perceptions of political event outcomes including Israeli parliamentary dissolution.
Mar 6 2026
Netanyahu approves $35 billion gas export deal to Egypt
The historic gas agreement was presented as a boost to Israel’s economy and regional standing, improving the governing coalition’s prospects and reducing immediate pressure for a snap election, which helped lift the June‑30 probability.
Feb 15 2026
Israeli military launches operation to locate last hostage in Gaza
June 30 drops to 35%5%
Israel intensified efforts to recover the remains of the last hostage in Gaza, reflecting ongoing conflict and political pressures that may affect government stability and parliamentary decisions.
Feb 11 2026
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu convenes cabinet on rising settler violence in West Bank
June 30 plunges to 40%15%
Netanyahu met with security officials to address increasing Israeli settler violence in the West Bank, highlighting internal political tensions and security concerns that could impact government stability and parliamentary actions.
Feb 11 2026
Israel demolishes UNRWA sites in East Jerusalem amid legal battle
The Israeli Foreign Ministry confirmed demolition of UNRWA facilities, heightening diplomatic tensions and raising speculation that the government might call early elections to consolidate support, nudging the market toward a later dissolution date.
Jan 28 2026
Israel launches large‑scale operation to locate last Gaza hostage
Prime Minister Netanyahu announced a major military effort to recover the final Israeli hostage, a step seen as prerequisite for moving to the second phase of the U.S.‑brokered ceasefire, which could delay any parliamentary dissolution until after the June‑30 deadline.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання
«Ізраїльський парламент розпущено...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «June 30» з 42%, далі «May 31» з 14%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.
Станом на сьогодні, «Ізраїльський парламент розпущено...?» згенерував $1 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Sep 3, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.
Щоб торгувати на «Ізраїльський парламент розпущено...?», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.
Поточний фаворит для «Ізраїльський парламент розпущено...?» — «June 30» з 42%. Наступний — «May 31» з 14%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.
Правила вирішення для «Ізраїльський парламент розпущено...?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.
Так. Вам не потрібно торгувати, щоб бути в курсі. Ця сторінка служить трекером наживо для «Ізраїльський парламент розпущено...?». Ймовірності результатів оновлюються в реальному часі з новими угодами. Збережіть сторінку та перегляньте коментарі інших трейдерів.
Шанси Polymarket встановлюються реальними трейдерами, які вкладають реальні гроші, що сприяє точним прогнозам. З $1 million торгового обсягу на «Ізраїльський парламент розпущено...?» ці ціни агрегують колективні знання тисяч учасників. Polymarket має місячний показник точності 94%. Для актуальної статистики точності відвідайте сторінку точності на Polymarket.
Щоб зробити першу угоду на «Ізраїльський парламент розпущено...?», зареєструйте безкоштовний акаунт на Polymarket та поповніть його криптою, кредитною чи дебетовою карткою або банківським переказом. Після поповнення поверніться на цю сторінку, оберіть результат, введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви новачок на ринках прогнозів, натисніть «Як це працює» вгорі будь-якої сторінки Polymarket.
На Polymarket ціна кожного результату відображає ймовірність ринку. Ціна 42¢ для «June 30» на ринку «Ізраїльський парламент розпущено...?» означає, що трейдери колективно оцінюють шанс цього результату приблизно в 42%. Якщо ви купите акції «Так» за 42¢ і результат правильний, ви отримаєте $1.00 за акцію — прибуток 58¢ за акцію.
Ринок «Ізраїльський парламент розпущено...?» запланований до вирішення приблизно Jun 30, 2026. Торгівля залишатиметься відкритою, а шанси продовжуватимуть змінюватися з появою нової інформації до цієї дати.
Ринок «Ізраїльський парламент розпущено...?» має активна спільнота з 30 коментарями, де трейдери діляться аналізом, обговорюють результати та останні новини. Прокрутіть вниз до розділу коментарів. Ви також можете фільтрувати за «Топ власники» або переглянути вкладку «Активність» для стрічки угод у реальному часі.
Polymarket — найбільший ринок прогнозів у світі, де ви можете бути в курсі подій та заробляти на знаннях реальних подій. Трейдери купують і продають акції на результати тем від політики та виборів до крипто, фінансів, спорту, технологій та культури, включаючи ринки, як «Ізраїльський парламент розпущено...?». Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання