Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows Prime Minister Netanyahu's bloc (Likud and allies including Shas, UTJ, Otzma Yehudit, and Religious Zionism) averaging 51-55 seats and the main Zionist opposition bloc (Yashar, Together, Democrats, and Yisrael Beiteinu) similarly positioned at 52-55, with Arab parties holding 12-14 seats. Neither side consistently projects a clear 61-seat majority needed to form a government without further negotiations or Arab support. Surplus-vote agreements among lists, ongoing Central Elections Committee disqualification proceedings, and the final weeks of campaigning could shift seat totals near the 3.25% threshold. Traders appear to price in the possibility that one bloc consolidates enough support or that post-election coalition math avoids a prolonged stalemate, consistent with the 63.5% implied probability against a hung parliament.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIsraeli election results in a hung parliament?
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
36% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2027
36% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2027
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel in 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, following the next election for the Israeli Knesset, a new Knesset election is called prior to any government being formed. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Government formation refers to a political coalition or government being approved by an investiture vote of the Knesset.
An election will be considered called if the Knesset is dissolved, or if a new Knesset election is otherwise officially announced by the Israeli government.
If a government is formed following the election before a new Knesset election is called, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The failure of a government formation attempt will not alone qualify if no new Knesset election has been called.
If neither occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows Prime Minister Netanyahu's bloc (Likud and allies including Shas, UTJ, Otzma Yehudit, and Religious Zionism) averaging 51-55 seats and the main Zionist opposition bloc (Yashar, Together, Democrats, and Yisrael Beiteinu) similarly positioned at 52-55, with Arab parties holding 12-14 seats. Neither side consistently projects a clear 61-seat majority needed to form a government without further negotiations or Arab support. Surplus-vote agreements among lists, ongoing Central Elections Committee disqualification proceedings, and the final weeks of campaigning could shift seat totals near the 3.25% threshold. Traders appear to price in the possibility that one bloc consolidates enough support or that post-election coalition math avoids a prolonged stalemate, consistent with the 63.5% implied probability against a hung parliament.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel in 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, following the next election for the Israeli Knesset, a new Knesset election is called prior to any government being formed. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Government formation refers to a political coalition or government being approved by an investiture vote of the Knesset.
An election will be considered called if the Knesset is dissolved, or if a new Knesset election is otherwise officially announced by the Israeli government.
If a government is formed following the election before a new Knesset election is called, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The failure of a government formation attempt will not alone qualify if no new Knesset election has been called.
If neither occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, following the next election for the Israeli Knesset, a new Knesset election is called prior to any government being formed. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Government formation refers to a political coalition or government being approved by an investiture vote of the Knesset.
An election will be considered called if the Knesset is dissolved, or if a new Knesset election is otherwise officially announced by the Israeli government.
If a government is formed following the election before a new Knesset election is called, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The failure of a government formation attempt will not alone qualify if no new Knesset election has been called.
If neither occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 29, 2026, 7:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$6,482Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 7:30 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel in 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, following the next election for the Israeli Knesset, a new Knesset election is called prior to any government being formed. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Government formation refers to a political coalition or government being approved by an investiture vote of the Knesset.
An election will be considered called if the Knesset is dissolved, or if a new Knesset election is otherwise officially announced by the Israeli government.
If a government is formed following the election before a new Knesset election is called, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The failure of a government formation attempt will not alone qualify if no new Knesset election has been called.
If neither occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows Prime Minister Netanyahu's bloc (Likud and allies including Shas, UTJ, Otzma Yehudit, and Religious Zionism) averaging 51-55 seats and the main Zionist opposition bloc (Yashar, Together, Democrats, and Yisrael Beiteinu) similarly positioned at 52-55, with Arab parties holding 12-14 seats. Neither side consistently projects a clear 61-seat majority needed to form a government without further negotiations or Arab support. Surplus-vote agreements among lists, ongoing Central Elections Committee disqualification proceedings, and the final weeks of campaigning could shift seat totals near the 3.25% threshold. Traders appear to price in the possibility that one bloc consolidates enough support or that post-election coalition math avoids a prolonged stalemate, consistent with the 63.5% implied probability against a hung parliament.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel in 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, following the next election for the Israeli Knesset, a new Knesset election is called prior to any government being formed. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Government formation refers to a political coalition or government being approved by an investiture vote of the Knesset.
An election will be considered called if the Knesset is dissolved, or if a new Knesset election is otherwise officially announced by the Israeli government.
If a government is formed following the election before a new Knesset election is called, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The failure of a government formation attempt will not alone qualify if no new Knesset election has been called.
If neither occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, following the next election for the Israeli Knesset, a new Knesset election is called prior to any government being formed. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Government formation refers to a political coalition or government being approved by an investiture vote of the Knesset.
An election will be considered called if the Knesset is dissolved, or if a new Knesset election is otherwise officially announced by the Israeli government.
If a government is formed following the election before a new Knesset election is called, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The failure of a government formation attempt will not alone qualify if no new Knesset election has been called.
If neither occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$6,482Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 7:30 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows Prime Minister Netanyahu's bloc (Likud and allies including Shas, UTJ, Otzma Yehudit, and Religious Zionism) averaging 51-55 seats and the main Zionist opposition bloc (Yashar, Together, Democrats, and Yisrael Beiteinu) similarly positioned at 52-55, with Arab parties holding 12-14 seats. Neither side consistently projects a clear 61-seat majority needed to form a government without further negotiations or Arab support. Surplus-vote agreements among lists, ongoing Central Elections Committee disqualification proceedings, and the final weeks of campaigning could shift seat totals near the 3.25% threshold. Traders appear to price in the possibility that one bloc consolidates enough support or that post-election coalition math avoids a prolonged stalemate, consistent with the 63.5% implied probability against a hung parliament.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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