Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations remain stalled over core disputes on enrichment rights, with Washington seeking a multi-year moratorium or full suspension and Tehran insisting on its sovereign right to enrich while rejecting long-term halts or full stockpile transfers. Recent reports indicate Iran submitted counteroffers via mediators but continues to condition any deal on upfront sanctions relief and has not committed to ending enrichment by late July. IAEA calls for resumed inspections and verification have not produced breakthroughs, and post-2025 strike damage to facilities has not altered Tehran’s negotiating stance. These entrenched positions and the tight timeline explain the 64.5% trader probability against an agreement by July 31.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
$40,928 Обс.
$40,928 Обс.
Jul 31, 2026
$40,928 Обс.
$40,928 Обс.
Jul 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations remain stalled over core disputes on enrichment rights, with Washington seeking a multi-year moratorium or full suspension and Tehran insisting on its sovereign right to enrich while rejecting long-term halts or full stockpile transfers. Recent reports indicate Iran submitted counteroffers via mediators but continues to condition any deal on upfront sanctions relief and has not committed to ending enrichment by late July. IAEA calls for resumed inspections and verification have not produced breakthroughs, and post-2025 strike damage to facilities has not altered Tehran’s negotiating stance. These entrenched positions and the tight timeline explain the 64.5% trader probability against an agreement by July 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$40,928Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations remain stalled over core disputes on enrichment rights, with Washington seeking a multi-year moratorium or full suspension and Tehran insisting on its sovereign right to enrich while rejecting long-term halts or full stockpile transfers. Recent reports indicate Iran submitted counteroffers via mediators but continues to condition any deal on upfront sanctions relief and has not committed to ending enrichment by late July. IAEA calls for resumed inspections and verification have not produced breakthroughs, and post-2025 strike damage to facilities has not altered Tehran’s negotiating stance. These entrenched positions and the tight timeline explain the 64.5% trader probability against an agreement by July 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$40,928Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations remain stalled over core disputes on enrichment rights, with Washington seeking a multi-year moratorium or full suspension and Tehran insisting on its sovereign right to enrich while rejecting long-term halts or full stockpile transfers. Recent reports indicate Iran submitted counteroffers via mediators but continues to condition any deal on upfront sanctions relief and has not committed to ending enrichment by late July. IAEA calls for resumed inspections and verification have not produced breakthroughs, and post-2025 strike damage to facilities has not altered Tehran’s negotiating stance. These entrenched positions and the tight timeline explain the 64.5% trader probability against an agreement by July 31.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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