Iranian authorities imposed a nationwide internet blackout starting January 8, 2026, amid escalating 2025–2026 protests and the 2026 Iran war involving Israeli and U.S. strikes, marking the longest recorded national shutdown at 88 days before gradual restoration began in late May. The move, attributed to the IRGC and communications ministry for suppressing information flow and covering security operations, isolated roughly 90 million users and disrupted economic activity. Resumption of partial connectivity followed a presidential commission review, though restrictions on international access persisted in prior episodes tied to conflict or unrest. Ongoing regional tensions, protest dynamics, and government digital isolation policies remain key variables that could influence any renewed full cutoff before market resolution dates. Trader consensus reflects the high barriers to another total event absent major new escalations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНОВЕ
Jul 31, 2026
July 31
12%
August 31
39%
$10 Обс.
July 31
$10 Обс.
12%
August 31
$0 Обс.
39%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities imposed a nationwide internet blackout starting January 8, 2026, amid escalating 2025–2026 protests and the 2026 Iran war involving Israeli and U.S. strikes, marking the longest recorded national shutdown at 88 days before gradual restoration began in late May. The move, attributed to the IRGC and communications ministry for suppressing information flow and covering security operations, isolated roughly 90 million users and disrupted economic activity. Resumption of partial connectivity followed a presidential commission review, though restrictions on international access persisted in prior episodes tied to conflict or unrest. Ongoing regional tensions, protest dynamics, and government digital isolation policies remain key variables that could influence any renewed full cutoff before market resolution dates. Trader consensus reflects the high barriers to another total event absent major new escalations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 20, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Обсяг
$10Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities imposed a nationwide internet blackout starting January 8, 2026, amid escalating 2025–2026 protests and the 2026 Iran war involving Israeli and U.S. strikes, marking the longest recorded national shutdown at 88 days before gradual restoration began in late May. The move, attributed to the IRGC and communications ministry for suppressing information flow and covering security operations, isolated roughly 90 million users and disrupted economic activity. Resumption of partial connectivity followed a presidential commission review, though restrictions on international access persisted in prior episodes tied to conflict or unrest. Ongoing regional tensions, protest dynamics, and government digital isolation policies remain key variables that could influence any renewed full cutoff before market resolution dates. Trader consensus reflects the high barriers to another total event absent major new escalations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$10Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian authorities imposed a nationwide internet blackout starting January 8, 2026, amid escalating 2025–2026 protests and the 2026 Iran war involving Israeli and U.S. strikes, marking the longest recorded national shutdown at 88 days before gradual restoration began in late May. The move, attributed to the IRGC and communications ministry for suppressing information flow and covering security operations, isolated roughly 90 million users and disrupted economic activity. Resumption of partial connectivity followed a presidential commission review, though restrictions on international access persisted in prior episodes tied to conflict or unrest. Ongoing regional tensions, protest dynamics, and government digital isolation policies remain key variables that could influence any renewed full cutoff before market resolution dates. Trader consensus reflects the high barriers to another total event absent major new escalations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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