The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during escalation in the Iran conflict, triggered immediate succession proceedings. The Assembly of Experts conducted a closed selection process and unanimously elected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader on March 9, establishing continuity within the clerical and Revolutionary Guards structures. This rapid transition amid military pressure, sanctions, and domestic economic strains has shaped trader assessments of additional near-term leadership shifts, with resolution tied to official Iranian confirmations of the supreme leader's status. Ongoing diplomatic and battlefield developments could still influence perceptions of regime stability through late 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$23,479,860 Обс.
Aug 15, 2026
August 15
<1%
August 22
1%
August 31
2%
September 30
6%
October 31
10%
November 30
13%
31 грудня
18%
June 30, 2027
26%
$23,479,860 Обс.
August 15
$60,914 Обс.
<1%
August 22
$31,948 Обс.
1%
August 31
$1,148,876 Обс.
2%
September 30
$438,691 Обс.
6%
October 31
$8,802 Обс.
10%
November 30
$10,250 Обс.
13%
31 грудня
$3,997,040 Обс.
18%
June 30, 2027
$236,962 Обс.
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during escalation in the Iran conflict, triggered immediate succession proceedings. The Assembly of Experts conducted a closed selection process and unanimously elected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader on March 9, establishing continuity within the clerical and Revolutionary Guards structures. This rapid transition amid military pressure, sanctions, and domestic economic strains has shaped trader assessments of additional near-term leadership shifts, with resolution tied to official Iranian confirmations of the supreme leader's status. Ongoing diplomatic and battlefield developments could still influence perceptions of regime stability through late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$23,479,860Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during escalation in the Iran conflict, triggered immediate succession proceedings. The Assembly of Experts conducted a closed selection process and unanimously elected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader on March 9, establishing continuity within the clerical and Revolutionary Guards structures. This rapid transition amid military pressure, sanctions, and domestic economic strains has shaped trader assessments of additional near-term leadership shifts, with resolution tied to official Iranian confirmations of the supreme leader's status. Ongoing diplomatic and battlefield developments could still influence perceptions of regime stability through late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$23,479,860Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during escalation in the Iran conflict, triggered immediate succession proceedings. The Assembly of Experts conducted a closed selection process and unanimously elected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader on March 9, establishing continuity within the clerical and Revolutionary Guards structures. This rapid transition amid military pressure, sanctions, and domestic economic strains has shaped trader assessments of additional near-term leadership shifts, with resolution tied to official Iranian confirmations of the supreme leader's status. Ongoing diplomatic and battlefield developments could still influence perceptions of regime stability through late 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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