U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 on narco-terrorism charges, installing his former vice president Delcy Rodríguez as interim leader under explicit American oversight during a stabilization phase. Rodríguez has retained power through mid-2026 amid U.S. praise for cooperation, sanctions relief, and joint efforts on reconstruction following June earthquakes that killed thousands and delayed political talks. Negotiations between the interim government and a limited opposition faction began in early August, but major exiled figures remain sidelined and full elections are viewed as premature by Washington. These factors sustain trader consensus around continuity with Chavista-era officials through year-end, while low probabilities for opposition leaders reflect their exile status and the slow pace toward any broader transition.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоЛідер Венесуели наприкінці 2026 року?
Лідер Венесуели наприкінці 2026 року?
Ніколас Мадуро 82.1%
Дельсі Родрігес 10%
Марія Коріна Мачадо 2.6%
Відсутність глави держави <1%
$95,552,560 Обс.
$95,552,560 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Ніколас Мадуро
82%
Дельсі Родрігес
10%
Марія Коріна Мачадо
3%
Відсутність глави держави
1%
Едмундо Гонсалес
1%
Діосдадо Кабельйо Рондон
<1%
Хорхе Родрігес
<1%
Владімір Падріно Лопес
<1%
Дінора Фігера
<1%
Еван Петтіс
<1%
Дональд Трамп
<1%
Марко Рубіо
<1%
Піт Гегсет
<1%
Френк Донован
<1%
Ден Кейн
<1%
Річард Гренелл
<1%
Ніколас Мадуро 82.1%
Дельсі Родрігес 10%
Марія Коріна Мачадо 2.6%
Відсутність глави держави <1%
$95,552,560 Обс.
$95,552,560 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Ніколас Мадуро
$2,749,419 Обс.
82%
Дельсі Родрігес
$1,762,975 Обс.
10%
Марія Коріна Мачадо
$1,443,253 Обс.
3%
Відсутність глави держави
$1,512,106 Обс.
1%
Едмундо Гонсалес
$1,208,815 Обс.
1%
Діосдадо Кабельйо Рондон
$2,086,292 Обс.
<1%
Хорхе Родрігес
$1,149,082 Обс.
<1%
Владімір Падріно Лопес
$800,746 Обс.
<1%
Дінора Фігера
$2,971,772 Обс.
<1%
Еван Петтіс
$5,628,448 Обс.
<1%
Дональд Трамп
$1,119,522 Обс.
<1%
Марко Рубіо
$1,395,016 Обс.
<1%
Піт Гегсет
$9,173,341 Обс.
<1%
Френк Донован
$25,800,435 Обс.
<1%
Ден Кейн
$4,113,079 Обс.
<1%
Річард Гренелл
$32,638,258 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 on narco-terrorism charges, installing his former vice president Delcy Rodríguez as interim leader under explicit American oversight during a stabilization phase. Rodríguez has retained power through mid-2026 amid U.S. praise for cooperation, sanctions relief, and joint efforts on reconstruction following June earthquakes that killed thousands and delayed political talks. Negotiations between the interim government and a limited opposition faction began in early August, but major exiled figures remain sidelined and full elections are viewed as premature by Washington. These factors sustain trader consensus around continuity with Chavista-era officials through year-end, while low probabilities for opposition leaders reflect their exile status and the slow pace toward any broader transition.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$95,552,560Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 on narco-terrorism charges, installing his former vice president Delcy Rodríguez as interim leader under explicit American oversight during a stabilization phase. Rodríguez has retained power through mid-2026 amid U.S. praise for cooperation, sanctions relief, and joint efforts on reconstruction following June earthquakes that killed thousands and delayed political talks. Negotiations between the interim government and a limited opposition faction began in early August, but major exiled figures remain sidelined and full elections are viewed as premature by Washington. These factors sustain trader consensus around continuity with Chavista-era officials through year-end, while low probabilities for opposition leaders reflect their exile status and the slow pace toward any broader transition.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Обсяг
$95,552,560Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 on narco-terrorism charges, installing his former vice president Delcy Rodríguez as interim leader under explicit American oversight during a stabilization phase. Rodríguez has retained power through mid-2026 amid U.S. praise for cooperation, sanctions relief, and joint efforts on reconstruction following June earthquakes that killed thousands and delayed political talks. Negotiations between the interim government and a limited opposition faction began in early August, but major exiled figures remain sidelined and full elections are viewed as premature by Washington. These factors sustain trader consensus around continuity with Chavista-era officials through year-end, while low probabilities for opposition leaders reflect their exile status and the slow pace toward any broader transition.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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