The US capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 prompted Delcy Rodríguez’s installation as acting president via Supreme Tribunal order, with military endorsement and subsequent US-backed talks involving National Assembly figures and select opposition representatives. These negotiations have focused on judicial reform, prisoner releases, and electoral council adjustments rather than immediate succession, while the legislature has extended her interim mandate without declaring permanent absence. Economic pressures from inflation and earthquakes, combined with US priorities on oil sector stabilization, security cooperation, and cartel reduction, have further delayed any accelerated transition. This environment underpins trader consensus around continuity for Maduro-aligned structures through year-end 2026, limiting near-term openings for opposition figures or alternative successors despite broader calls for competitive elections.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоЛідер Венесуели наприкінці 2026 року?
Лідер Венесуели наприкінці 2026 року?
Ніколас Мадуро 84.9%
Дельсі Родрігес 10%
Марія Коріна Мачадо 1.8%
Відсутність глави держави 1.1%
$95,936,324 Обс.
$95,936,324 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
Ніколас Мадуро
85%
Дельсі Родрігес
10%
Марія Коріна Мачадо
2%
Відсутність глави держави
1%
Едмундо Гонсалес
<1%
Діосдадо Кабельйо Рондон
<1%
Хорхе Родрігес
<1%
Владімір Падріно Лопес
<1%
Дінора Фігера
<1%
Еван Петтіс
<1%
Ден Кейн
<1%
Дональд Трамп
<1%
Марко Рубіо
<1%
Піт Гегсет
<1%
Френк Донован
<1%
Річард Гренелл
<1%
Ніколас Мадуро 84.9%
Дельсі Родрігес 10%
Марія Коріна Мачадо 1.8%
Відсутність глави держави 1.1%
$95,936,324 Обс.
$95,936,324 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
Ніколас Мадуро
$2,814,023 Обс.
85%
Дельсі Родрігес
$1,774,960 Обс.
10%
Марія Коріна Мачадо
$1,454,802 Обс.
2%
Відсутність глави держави
$1,515,210 Обс.
1%
Едмундо Гонсалес
$1,215,201 Обс.
<1%
Діосдадо Кабельйо Рондон
$2,089,881 Обс.
<1%
Хорхе Родрігес
$1,164,634 Обс.
<1%
Владімір Падріно Лопес
$817,694 Обс.
<1%
Дінора Фігера
$2,984,213 Обс.
<1%
Еван Петтіс
$5,640,996 Обс.
<1%
Ден Кейн
$4,138,366 Обс.
<1%
Дональд Трамп
$1,132,242 Обс.
<1%
Марко Рубіо
$1,410,742 Обс.
<1%
Піт Гегсет
$9,184,643 Обс.
<1%
Френк Донован
$25,808,164 Обс.
<1%
Річард Гренелл
$32,790,552 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
The US capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 prompted Delcy Rodríguez’s installation as acting president via Supreme Tribunal order, with military endorsement and subsequent US-backed talks involving National Assembly figures and select opposition representatives. These negotiations have focused on judicial reform, prisoner releases, and electoral council adjustments rather than immediate succession, while the legislature has extended her interim mandate without declaring permanent absence. Economic pressures from inflation and earthquakes, combined with US priorities on oil sector stabilization, security cooperation, and cartel reduction, have further delayed any accelerated transition. This environment underpins trader consensus around continuity for Maduro-aligned structures through year-end 2026, limiting near-term openings for opposition figures or alternative successors despite broader calls for competitive elections.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$95,936,324Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
The US capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 prompted Delcy Rodríguez’s installation as acting president via Supreme Tribunal order, with military endorsement and subsequent US-backed talks involving National Assembly figures and select opposition representatives. These negotiations have focused on judicial reform, prisoner releases, and electoral council adjustments rather than immediate succession, while the legislature has extended her interim mandate without declaring permanent absence. Economic pressures from inflation and earthquakes, combined with US priorities on oil sector stabilization, security cooperation, and cartel reduction, have further delayed any accelerated transition. This environment underpins trader consensus around continuity for Maduro-aligned structures through year-end 2026, limiting near-term openings for opposition figures or alternative successors despite broader calls for competitive elections.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Обсяг
$95,936,324Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...The US capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 prompted Delcy Rodríguez’s installation as acting president via Supreme Tribunal order, with military endorsement and subsequent US-backed talks involving National Assembly figures and select opposition representatives. These negotiations have focused on judicial reform, prisoner releases, and electoral council adjustments rather than immediate succession, while the legislature has extended her interim mandate without declaring permanent absence. Economic pressures from inflation and earthquakes, combined with US priorities on oil sector stabilization, security cooperation, and cartel reduction, have further delayed any accelerated transition. This environment underpins trader consensus around continuity for Maduro-aligned structures through year-end 2026, limiting near-term openings for opposition figures or alternative successors despite broader calls for competitive elections.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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