US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 operation, yet Venezuelan state institutions, including the Supreme Tribunal of Justice and National Assembly, continue to recognize him as the constitutional president while Delcy Rodríguez serves in an acting capacity. This formal distinction sustains trader consensus around Maduro's position at the end of 2026. Rodríguez's interim role, backed by cooperation with US authorities on sanctions relief and oil sector reforms, accounts for her secondary standing. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado face lower probabilities due to limited institutional access and sidelining in transition talks. No major new electoral or diplomatic shifts have emerged in recent weeks, leaving the current power-sharing arrangement as the dominant factor shaping implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоЛідер Венесуели наприкінці 2026 року?
Лідер Венесуели наприкінці 2026 року?
Ніколас Мадуро 63.9%
Дельсі Родрігес 21%
Марія Коріна Мачадо 8%
Хорхе Родрігес <1%
$88,134,199 Обс.
$88,134,199 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Ніколас Мадуро
64%
Дельсі Родрігес
21%
Марія Коріна Мачадо
8%
Хорхе Родрігес
1%
Діосдадо Кабельйо Рондон
1%
Едмундо Гонсалес
1%
Дональд Трамп
1%
Відсутність глави держави
1%
Еван Петтіс
<1%
Дінора Фігера
<1%
Владімір Падріно Лопес
<1%
Ден Кейн
<1%
Марко Рубіо
<1%
Піт Гегсет
<1%
Френк Донован
<1%
Річард Гренелл
<1%
Ніколас Мадуро 63.9%
Дельсі Родрігес 21%
Марія Коріна Мачадо 8%
Хорхе Родрігес <1%
$88,134,199 Обс.
$88,134,199 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Ніколас Мадуро
$1,705,753 Обс.
64%
Дельсі Родрігес
$1,597,331 Обс.
21%
Марія Коріна Мачадо
$1,055,770 Обс.
8%
Хорхе Родрігес
$1,002,523 Обс.
1%
Діосдадо Кабельйо Рондон
$1,681,484 Обс.
1%
Едмундо Гонсалес
$822,508 Обс.
1%
Дональд Трамп
$913,145 Обс.
1%
Відсутність глави держави
$1,074,122 Обс.
1%
Еван Петтіс
$5,071,766 Обс.
<1%
Дінора Фігера
$2,339,239 Обс.
<1%
Владімір Падріно Лопес
$666,331 Обс.
<1%
Ден Кейн
$3,564,064 Обс.
<1%
Марко Рубіо
$979,693 Обс.
<1%
Піт Гегсет
$8,600,697 Обс.
<1%
Френк Донован
$25,048,470 Обс.
<1%
Річард Гренелл
$32,011,895 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 operation, yet Venezuelan state institutions, including the Supreme Tribunal of Justice and National Assembly, continue to recognize him as the constitutional president while Delcy Rodríguez serves in an acting capacity. This formal distinction sustains trader consensus around Maduro's position at the end of 2026. Rodríguez's interim role, backed by cooperation with US authorities on sanctions relief and oil sector reforms, accounts for her secondary standing. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado face lower probabilities due to limited institutional access and sidelining in transition talks. No major new electoral or diplomatic shifts have emerged in recent weeks, leaving the current power-sharing arrangement as the dominant factor shaping implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$88,134,199Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 operation, yet Venezuelan state institutions, including the Supreme Tribunal of Justice and National Assembly, continue to recognize him as the constitutional president while Delcy Rodríguez serves in an acting capacity. This formal distinction sustains trader consensus around Maduro's position at the end of 2026. Rodríguez's interim role, backed by cooperation with US authorities on sanctions relief and oil sector reforms, accounts for her secondary standing. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado face lower probabilities due to limited institutional access and sidelining in transition talks. No major new electoral or diplomatic shifts have emerged in recent weeks, leaving the current power-sharing arrangement as the dominant factor shaping implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Обсяг
$88,134,199Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 operation, yet Venezuelan state institutions, including the Supreme Tribunal of Justice and National Assembly, continue to recognize him as the constitutional president while Delcy Rodríguez serves in an acting capacity. This formal distinction sustains trader consensus around Maduro's position at the end of 2026. Rodríguez's interim role, backed by cooperation with US authorities on sanctions relief and oil sector reforms, accounts for her secondary standing. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado face lower probabilities due to limited institutional access and sidelining in transition talks. No major new electoral or diplomatic shifts have emerged in recent weeks, leaving the current power-sharing arrangement as the dominant factor shaping implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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