Ongoing diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran, mediated through intermediaries and involving Oman, focus on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and addressing naval blockades imposed amid renewed attacks on commercial shipping in July and early August 2026. Following initial 2026 military operations and a brief April ceasefire, a June memorandum of understanding has faced repeated strains, with both sides exchanging demands over sanctions relief, asset releases, and transit rights. President Trump has referenced indirect talks and economic pressure as alternatives to escalation, while Iranian officials condition any de-escalation on U.S. concessions. These developments, alongside the absence of congressional authorization for formal hostilities, shape trader assessments of the low probability of an official U.S. declaration of war in the near term.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоЧи будуть США офіційно оголошувати війну Ірану за...?
Чи будуть США офіційно оголошувати війну Ірану за...?
$7,764,533 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
31 грудня
3%
$7,764,533 Обс.
31 грудня
$791,899 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran, mediated through intermediaries and involving Oman, focus on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and addressing naval blockades imposed amid renewed attacks on commercial shipping in July and early August 2026. Following initial 2026 military operations and a brief April ceasefire, a June memorandum of understanding has faced repeated strains, with both sides exchanging demands over sanctions relief, asset releases, and transit rights. President Trump has referenced indirect talks and economic pressure as alternatives to escalation, while Iranian officials condition any de-escalation on U.S. concessions. These developments, alongside the absence of congressional authorization for formal hostilities, shape trader assessments of the low probability of an official U.S. declaration of war in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Обсяг
$7,764,533Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran, mediated through intermediaries and involving Oman, focus on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and addressing naval blockades imposed amid renewed attacks on commercial shipping in July and early August 2026. Following initial 2026 military operations and a brief April ceasefire, a June memorandum of understanding has faced repeated strains, with both sides exchanging demands over sanctions relief, asset releases, and transit rights. President Trump has referenced indirect talks and economic pressure as alternatives to escalation, while Iranian officials condition any de-escalation on U.S. concessions. These developments, alongside the absence of congressional authorization for formal hostilities, shape trader assessments of the low probability of an official U.S. declaration of war in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$7,764,533Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran, mediated through intermediaries and involving Oman, focus on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and addressing naval blockades imposed amid renewed attacks on commercial shipping in July and early August 2026. Following initial 2026 military operations and a brief April ceasefire, a June memorandum of understanding has faced repeated strains, with both sides exchanging demands over sanctions relief, asset releases, and transit rights. President Trump has referenced indirect talks and economic pressure as alternatives to escalation, while Iranian officials condition any de-escalation on U.S. concessions. These developments, alongside the absence of congressional authorization for formal hostilities, shape trader assessments of the low probability of an official U.S. declaration of war in the near term.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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