Virginia's 3rd congressional district remains a Democratic stronghold centered on Hampton Roads communities including parts of Norfolk, Newport News, and Hampton. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott secured the Democratic nomination after the August 2026 primary was canceled, facing limited Republican opposition from candidates such as Edwin Rivera with minimal fundraising. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent past margins and voter registration patterns. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 94.5% implied probability based on this structural advantage. A late scandal, health issue affecting Scott, or unanticipated national Republican surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in the current cycle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоVA-03 House Election Winner
VA-03 House Election Winner
$43,090 Обс.
$43,090 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$43,090 Обс.
$43,090 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$21,441 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$21,649 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district remains a Democratic stronghold centered on Hampton Roads communities including parts of Norfolk, Newport News, and Hampton. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott secured the Democratic nomination after the August 2026 primary was canceled, facing limited Republican opposition from candidates such as Edwin Rivera with minimal fundraising. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent past margins and voter registration patterns. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 94.5% implied probability based on this structural advantage. A late scandal, health issue affecting Scott, or unanticipated national Republican surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$43,090Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district remains a Democratic stronghold centered on Hampton Roads communities including parts of Norfolk, Newport News, and Hampton. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott secured the Democratic nomination after the August 2026 primary was canceled, facing limited Republican opposition from candidates such as Edwin Rivera with minimal fundraising. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent past margins and voter registration patterns. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 94.5% implied probability based on this structural advantage. A late scandal, health issue affecting Scott, or unanticipated national Republican surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$43,090Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd congressional district remains a Democratic stronghold centered on Hampton Roads communities including parts of Norfolk, Newport News, and Hampton. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott secured the Democratic nomination after the August 2026 primary was canceled, facing limited Republican opposition from candidates such as Edwin Rivera with minimal fundraising. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent past margins and voter registration patterns. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 94.5% implied probability based on this structural advantage. A late scandal, health issue affecting Scott, or unanticipated national Republican surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in the current cycle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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