Virginia's 3rd Congressional District, with a D+18 partisan voter index, remains a safe Democratic stronghold under incumbent Robert C. Scott, fueling trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The Virginia Supreme Court's May 8 ruling struck down a voter-approved April redistricting amendment, preserving current maps that maintain VA-03's strong Democratic lean based on 2024 presidential results (Harris 67%, Trump 33%) and Scott's prior wins exceeding 67%. Scott advances unopposed in the August 4 Democratic primary after Justin Maffett withdrew, while no Republican has filed by the May 26 deadline, with only minor independents listed. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Democratic as of May 12. Upsets would require a late GOP powerhouse recruit, Scott scandal, or health issues, against historical base rates of incumbent reelection over 95% in such districts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоVA-03 House Election Winner
VA-03 House Election Winner
$35,416 Обс.
$35,416 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$35,416 Обс.
$35,416 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$20,071 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$15,345 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd Congressional District, with a D+18 partisan voter index, remains a safe Democratic stronghold under incumbent Robert C. Scott, fueling trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The Virginia Supreme Court's May 8 ruling struck down a voter-approved April redistricting amendment, preserving current maps that maintain VA-03's strong Democratic lean based on 2024 presidential results (Harris 67%, Trump 33%) and Scott's prior wins exceeding 67%. Scott advances unopposed in the August 4 Democratic primary after Justin Maffett withdrew, while no Republican has filed by the May 26 deadline, with only minor independents listed. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Democratic as of May 12. Upsets would require a late GOP powerhouse recruit, Scott scandal, or health issues, against historical base rates of incumbent reelection over 95% in such districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$35,416Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd Congressional District, with a D+18 partisan voter index, remains a safe Democratic stronghold under incumbent Robert C. Scott, fueling trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The Virginia Supreme Court's May 8 ruling struck down a voter-approved April redistricting amendment, preserving current maps that maintain VA-03's strong Democratic lean based on 2024 presidential results (Harris 67%, Trump 33%) and Scott's prior wins exceeding 67%. Scott advances unopposed in the August 4 Democratic primary after Justin Maffett withdrew, while no Republican has filed by the May 26 deadline, with only minor independents listed. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Democratic as of May 12. Upsets would require a late GOP powerhouse recruit, Scott scandal, or health issues, against historical base rates of incumbent reelection over 95% in such districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$35,416Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd Congressional District, with a D+18 partisan voter index, remains a safe Democratic stronghold under incumbent Robert C. Scott, fueling trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The Virginia Supreme Court's May 8 ruling struck down a voter-approved April redistricting amendment, preserving current maps that maintain VA-03's strong Democratic lean based on 2024 presidential results (Harris 67%, Trump 33%) and Scott's prior wins exceeding 67%. Scott advances unopposed in the August 4 Democratic primary after Justin Maffett withdrew, while no Republican has filed by the May 26 deadline, with only minor independents listed. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Democratic as of May 12. Upsets would require a late GOP powerhouse recruit, Scott scandal, or health issues, against historical base rates of incumbent reelection over 95% in such districts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання