Democratic incumbent Becca Balint holds a commanding lead in Vermont’s at-large House district due to the state’s consistent Democratic preference in federal elections since 1990, her own comfortable reelection margins exceeding 30 points in 2024, and July 2026 polling showing her ahead of Republican nominee Gerald Malloy by roughly 38 points. Primaries concluded August 11 with Balint unopposed in substance and Malloy securing the GOP nomination, while nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Democratic price aligns with these structural factors and limited GOP infrastructure in the state. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national Republican surge remain the narrow paths that could alter the outcome before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоVT-AL House Election Winner
VT-AL House Election Winner
$34,989 Обс.
$34,989 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$34,989 Обс.
$34,989 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,650 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$26,340 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Becca Balint holds a commanding lead in Vermont’s at-large House district due to the state’s consistent Democratic preference in federal elections since 1990, her own comfortable reelection margins exceeding 30 points in 2024, and July 2026 polling showing her ahead of Republican nominee Gerald Malloy by roughly 38 points. Primaries concluded August 11 with Balint unopposed in substance and Malloy securing the GOP nomination, while nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Democratic price aligns with these structural factors and limited GOP infrastructure in the state. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national Republican surge remain the narrow paths that could alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$34,989Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Becca Balint holds a commanding lead in Vermont’s at-large House district due to the state’s consistent Democratic preference in federal elections since 1990, her own comfortable reelection margins exceeding 30 points in 2024, and July 2026 polling showing her ahead of Republican nominee Gerald Malloy by roughly 38 points. Primaries concluded August 11 with Balint unopposed in substance and Malloy securing the GOP nomination, while nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Democratic price aligns with these structural factors and limited GOP infrastructure in the state. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national Republican surge remain the narrow paths that could alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$34,989Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Becca Balint holds a commanding lead in Vermont’s at-large House district due to the state’s consistent Democratic preference in federal elections since 1990, her own comfortable reelection margins exceeding 30 points in 2024, and July 2026 polling showing her ahead of Republican nominee Gerald Malloy by roughly 38 points. Primaries concluded August 11 with Balint unopposed in substance and Malloy securing the GOP nomination, while nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Democratic price aligns with these structural factors and limited GOP infrastructure in the state. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national Republican surge remain the narrow paths that could alter the outcome before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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