The Virginia Supreme Court's May 8, 2026, ruling voiding the April 21 voter-approved redistricting referendum has locked in the 2021 congressional maps, reverting VA-06 to its strong Republican configuration with an R+13 Cook PVI and incumbent Rep. Ben Cline seeking reelection absent a primary challenger. This development triggered Democratic candidate shakeups, including Pete Barlow's withdrawal and endorsement of Beth Macy, Tom Perriello's pivot to VA-05, and Hugh Murray's exit, leaving a fragmented field ahead of the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primaries. Trader consensus at 74.5% for Republicans reflects the district's historical GOP dominance, Cline's incumbency edge, and diminished Democratic prospects in the general election on November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоVA-06 House Election Winner
VA-06 House Election Winner
$79,256 Обс.
$79,256 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
74%
Democratic Party
17%
$79,256 Обс.
$79,256 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$25,944 Обс.
74%
Democratic Party
$53,313 Обс.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Virginia Supreme Court's May 8, 2026, ruling voiding the April 21 voter-approved redistricting referendum has locked in the 2021 congressional maps, reverting VA-06 to its strong Republican configuration with an R+13 Cook PVI and incumbent Rep. Ben Cline seeking reelection absent a primary challenger. This development triggered Democratic candidate shakeups, including Pete Barlow's withdrawal and endorsement of Beth Macy, Tom Perriello's pivot to VA-05, and Hugh Murray's exit, leaving a fragmented field ahead of the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primaries. Trader consensus at 74.5% for Republicans reflects the district's historical GOP dominance, Cline's incumbency edge, and diminished Democratic prospects in the general election on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$79,256Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Virginia Supreme Court's May 8, 2026, ruling voiding the April 21 voter-approved redistricting referendum has locked in the 2021 congressional maps, reverting VA-06 to its strong Republican configuration with an R+13 Cook PVI and incumbent Rep. Ben Cline seeking reelection absent a primary challenger. This development triggered Democratic candidate shakeups, including Pete Barlow's withdrawal and endorsement of Beth Macy, Tom Perriello's pivot to VA-05, and Hugh Murray's exit, leaving a fragmented field ahead of the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primaries. Trader consensus at 74.5% for Republicans reflects the district's historical GOP dominance, Cline's incumbency edge, and diminished Democratic prospects in the general election on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$79,256Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Virginia Supreme Court's May 8, 2026, ruling voiding the April 21 voter-approved redistricting referendum has locked in the 2021 congressional maps, reverting VA-06 to its strong Republican configuration with an R+13 Cook PVI and incumbent Rep. Ben Cline seeking reelection absent a primary challenger. This development triggered Democratic candidate shakeups, including Pete Barlow's withdrawal and endorsement of Beth Macy, Tom Perriello's pivot to VA-05, and Hugh Murray's exit, leaving a fragmented field ahead of the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primaries. Trader consensus at 74.5% for Republicans reflects the district's historical GOP dominance, Cline's incumbency edge, and diminished Democratic prospects in the general election on November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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