Idaho’s entrenched Republican lean shapes trader expectations for the 2026 Senate contest. Incumbent Jim Risch’s decision to seek another term, backed by strong primary polling and key endorsements, has reinforced expectations of a comfortable general-election victory in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1974. The primary on May 19 will likely produce the Republican nominee with minimal disruption, leaving the general-election outcome heavily influenced by the state’s consistent partisan voting patterns. A Republican win remains the clear market favorite, yet an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could still alter the final margin before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIdaho Senate Election Winner
Idaho Senate Election Winner
$15,389 Обс.
$15,389 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
91%
Democrat
8%
$15,389 Обс.
$15,389 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$10,646 Обс.
91%
Democrat
$4,743 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho’s entrenched Republican lean shapes trader expectations for the 2026 Senate contest. Incumbent Jim Risch’s decision to seek another term, backed by strong primary polling and key endorsements, has reinforced expectations of a comfortable general-election victory in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1974. The primary on May 19 will likely produce the Republican nominee with minimal disruption, leaving the general-election outcome heavily influenced by the state’s consistent partisan voting patterns. A Republican win remains the clear market favorite, yet an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could still alter the final margin before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Обсяг
$15,389Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho’s entrenched Republican lean shapes trader expectations for the 2026 Senate contest. Incumbent Jim Risch’s decision to seek another term, backed by strong primary polling and key endorsements, has reinforced expectations of a comfortable general-election victory in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1974. The primary on May 19 will likely produce the Republican nominee with minimal disruption, leaving the general-election outcome heavily influenced by the state’s consistent partisan voting patterns. A Republican win remains the clear market favorite, yet an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could still alter the final margin before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$15,389Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho’s entrenched Republican lean shapes trader expectations for the 2026 Senate contest. Incumbent Jim Risch’s decision to seek another term, backed by strong primary polling and key endorsements, has reinforced expectations of a comfortable general-election victory in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1974. The primary on May 19 will likely produce the Republican nominee with minimal disruption, leaving the general-election outcome heavily influenced by the state’s consistent partisan voting patterns. A Republican win remains the clear market favorite, yet an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could still alter the final margin before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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