Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 91.5% to win Idaho's 2nd Congressional District House seat due to longtime incumbent Rep. Mike Simpson's strong track record since 1999, including 61% in his last general election, in a solidly Republican district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13. Ahead of the May 19 primaries, Simpson faces two GOP challengers—Brian Keene and another—fueled by recent conservative backlash over his vote against an amendment blocking vehicle kill-switch mandates, though prediction markets price him as the nominee favorite. No prominent Democratic contender has emerged, underscoring the district's historical GOP dominance. Upsets could stem from a primary loss to a vulnerable nominee, a surprise Democratic surge, scandal, or national midterm wave shifting turnout.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоID-02 House Election Winner
ID-02 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,885 Обс.
92%
Democratic Party
$2,059 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 91.5% to win Idaho's 2nd Congressional District House seat due to longtime incumbent Rep. Mike Simpson's strong track record since 1999, including 61% in his last general election, in a solidly Republican district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13. Ahead of the May 19 primaries, Simpson faces two GOP challengers—Brian Keene and another—fueled by recent conservative backlash over his vote against an amendment blocking vehicle kill-switch mandates, though prediction markets price him as the nominee favorite. No prominent Democratic contender has emerged, underscoring the district's historical GOP dominance. Upsets could stem from a primary loss to a vulnerable nominee, a surprise Democratic surge, scandal, or national midterm wave shifting turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,944Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 91.5% to win Idaho's 2nd Congressional District House seat due to longtime incumbent Rep. Mike Simpson's strong track record since 1999, including 61% in his last general election, in a solidly Republican district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13. Ahead of the May 19 primaries, Simpson faces two GOP challengers—Brian Keene and another—fueled by recent conservative backlash over his vote against an amendment blocking vehicle kill-switch mandates, though prediction markets price him as the nominee favorite. No prominent Democratic contender has emerged, underscoring the district's historical GOP dominance. Upsets could stem from a primary loss to a vulnerable nominee, a surprise Democratic surge, scandal, or national midterm wave shifting turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$3,944Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 91.5% to win Idaho's 2nd Congressional District House seat due to longtime incumbent Rep. Mike Simpson's strong track record since 1999, including 61% in his last general election, in a solidly Republican district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13. Ahead of the May 19 primaries, Simpson faces two GOP challengers—Brian Keene and another—fueled by recent conservative backlash over his vote against an amendment blocking vehicle kill-switch mandates, though prediction markets price him as the nominee favorite. No prominent Democratic contender has emerged, underscoring the district's historical GOP dominance. Upsets could stem from a primary loss to a vulnerable nominee, a surprise Democratic surge, scandal, or national midterm wave shifting turnout.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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