Maine’s 2nd Congressional District race remains competitive after incumbent Jared Golden’s retirement, with traders assigning Paul LePage a 57% implied probability against Matthew Dunlap at 42.5%. The rural, Trump-won district’s conservative tilt favors the former Republican governor, yet ranked-choice voting and the seat’s recent Democratic hold create uncertainty. Dunlap’s June primary win over more moderate options positioned him as the progressive nominee, prompting Republican groups to highlight policy contrasts on taxes, entitlements, and spending. LePage’s stronger fundraising and recent agreement to two October debates provide visibility advantages, while polls through midsummer showed the matchup within a few points. Upcoming forums and voter turnout in key counties could widen or close the gap before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоME-02 House Election Winner
ME-02 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 2, 2026
Paul LePage (R)
56%
Matthew Dunlap (D)
43%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 2, 2026
Paul LePage (R)
$5,820 Обс.
56%
Matthew Dunlap (D)
$2,263 Обс.
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maine’s 2nd Congressional District race remains competitive after incumbent Jared Golden’s retirement, with traders assigning Paul LePage a 57% implied probability against Matthew Dunlap at 42.5%. The rural, Trump-won district’s conservative tilt favors the former Republican governor, yet ranked-choice voting and the seat’s recent Democratic hold create uncertainty. Dunlap’s June primary win over more moderate options positioned him as the progressive nominee, prompting Republican groups to highlight policy contrasts on taxes, entitlements, and spending. LePage’s stronger fundraising and recent agreement to two October debates provide visibility advantages, while polls through midsummer showed the matchup within a few points. Upcoming forums and voter turnout in key counties could widen or close the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Обсяг
$8,083Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maine’s 2nd Congressional District race remains competitive after incumbent Jared Golden’s retirement, with traders assigning Paul LePage a 57% implied probability against Matthew Dunlap at 42.5%. The rural, Trump-won district’s conservative tilt favors the former Republican governor, yet ranked-choice voting and the seat’s recent Democratic hold create uncertainty. Dunlap’s June primary win over more moderate options positioned him as the progressive nominee, prompting Republican groups to highlight policy contrasts on taxes, entitlements, and spending. LePage’s stronger fundraising and recent agreement to two October debates provide visibility advantages, while polls through midsummer showed the matchup within a few points. Upcoming forums and voter turnout in key counties could widen or close the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$8,083Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Maine’s 2nd Congressional District race remains competitive after incumbent Jared Golden’s retirement, with traders assigning Paul LePage a 57% implied probability against Matthew Dunlap at 42.5%. The rural, Trump-won district’s conservative tilt favors the former Republican governor, yet ranked-choice voting and the seat’s recent Democratic hold create uncertainty. Dunlap’s June primary win over more moderate options positioned him as the progressive nominee, prompting Republican groups to highlight policy contrasts on taxes, entitlements, and spending. LePage’s stronger fundraising and recent agreement to two October debates provide visibility advantages, while polls through midsummer showed the matchup within a few points. Upcoming forums and voter turnout in key counties could widen or close the gap before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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