Luz Rivas holds an 88.5% implied probability in the CA-29 individual winner market due to her position as the Democratic incumbent in a solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley district. She advanced from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with 51% of the vote, ahead of Angélica María Dueñas at 24.9%, with the Republican candidate eliminated. Rivas benefits from substantial fundraising advantages and endorsements typical for sitting members seeking reelection. Dueñas sits at 7.2% amid lower visibility and resources. The general election on November 3 remains the resolution trigger, with no major intervening developments reported since the primary that have shifted trader consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-29 House Election Winner (Individual)
CA-29 House Election Winner (Individual)
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Luz Rivas
89%
Angélica María Dueñas
6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Luz Rivas
$923 Обс.
89%
Angélica María Dueñas
$242 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Luz Rivas holds an 88.5% implied probability in the CA-29 individual winner market due to her position as the Democratic incumbent in a solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley district. She advanced from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with 51% of the vote, ahead of Angélica María Dueñas at 24.9%, with the Republican candidate eliminated. Rivas benefits from substantial fundraising advantages and endorsements typical for sitting members seeking reelection. Dueñas sits at 7.2% amid lower visibility and resources. The general election on November 3 remains the resolution trigger, with no major intervening developments reported since the primary that have shifted trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,165Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Luz Rivas holds an 88.5% implied probability in the CA-29 individual winner market due to her position as the Democratic incumbent in a solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley district. She advanced from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with 51% of the vote, ahead of Angélica María Dueñas at 24.9%, with the Republican candidate eliminated. Rivas benefits from substantial fundraising advantages and endorsements typical for sitting members seeking reelection. Dueñas sits at 7.2% amid lower visibility and resources. The general election on November 3 remains the resolution trigger, with no major intervening developments reported since the primary that have shifted trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$1,165Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Luz Rivas holds an 88.5% implied probability in the CA-29 individual winner market due to her position as the Democratic incumbent in a solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley district. She advanced from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with 51% of the vote, ahead of Angélica María Dueñas at 24.9%, with the Republican candidate eliminated. Rivas benefits from substantial fundraising advantages and endorsements typical for sitting members seeking reelection. Dueñas sits at 7.2% amid lower visibility and resources. The general election on November 3 remains the resolution trigger, with no major intervening developments reported since the primary that have shifted trader consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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