Tennessee's 1st congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat following the state's May 2026 redistricting, with incumbent Rep. Diana Harshbarger seeking renomination in the August primary ahead of the November general election. The northeast Tennessee district's voter base and historical margins, including Harshbarger's 78% share in 2024, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic primary activity and the absence of competitive general-election opposition. A late scandal, significant shift in national midterm dynamics, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to limit realistic paths for a Democratic victory.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTN-01 House Election Winner
TN-01 House Election Winner
$18,810 Обс.
$18,810 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
4%
$18,810 Обс.
$18,810 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$13,592 Обс.
94%
Democratic Party
$5,218 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 1st congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat following the state's May 2026 redistricting, with incumbent Rep. Diana Harshbarger seeking renomination in the August primary ahead of the November general election. The northeast Tennessee district's voter base and historical margins, including Harshbarger's 78% share in 2024, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic primary activity and the absence of competitive general-election opposition. A late scandal, significant shift in national midterm dynamics, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to limit realistic paths for a Democratic victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$18,810Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 1st congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat following the state's May 2026 redistricting, with incumbent Rep. Diana Harshbarger seeking renomination in the August primary ahead of the November general election. The northeast Tennessee district's voter base and historical margins, including Harshbarger's 78% share in 2024, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic primary activity and the absence of competitive general-election opposition. A late scandal, significant shift in national midterm dynamics, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to limit realistic paths for a Democratic victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$18,810Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 1st congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat following the state's May 2026 redistricting, with incumbent Rep. Diana Harshbarger seeking renomination in the August primary ahead of the November general election. The northeast Tennessee district's voter base and historical margins, including Harshbarger's 78% share in 2024, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic primary activity and the absence of competitive general-election opposition. A late scandal, significant shift in national midterm dynamics, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to limit realistic paths for a Democratic victory.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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