**Republican nominee Brandon Herrera holds a clear edge in the TX-23 general election matchup against Democrat Katy Padilla Stout, consistent with the district’s recent voting patterns and most independent race ratings labeling it Likely Republican.** Herrera advanced after incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew following a primary scandal involving an admitted relationship with a staffer who later died by suicide; Gonzales had been urged to exit by House Republican leaders. The majority-Hispanic district, which covers much of the Texas-Mexico border and includes parts of Bexar County, gave Republican presidential and Senate candidates comfortable margins in 2024. Padilla Stout won a competitive Democratic primary, but the seat’s structural Republican tilt and Herrera’s strong primary showing have kept trader consensus on the GOP side, with limited movement despite the ongoing vacancy and a recent screwworm outbreak in the district. The November 3 contest remains the focus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-23 House Election Winner
TX-23 House Election Winner
$38,503 Обс.
$38,503 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
69%
Democratic Party
31%
$38,503 Обс.
$38,503 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$22,643 Обс.
69%
Democratic Party
$15,860 Обс.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee Brandon Herrera holds a clear edge in the TX-23 general election matchup against Democrat Katy Padilla Stout, consistent with the district’s recent voting patterns and most independent race ratings labeling it Likely Republican.**
Herrera advanced after incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew following a primary scandal involving an admitted relationship with a staffer who later died by suicide; Gonzales had been urged to exit by House Republican leaders. The majority-Hispanic district, which covers much of the Texas-Mexico border and includes parts of Bexar County, gave Republican presidential and Senate candidates comfortable margins in 2024. Padilla Stout won a competitive Democratic primary, but the seat’s structural Republican tilt and Herrera’s strong primary showing have kept trader consensus on the GOP side, with limited movement despite the ongoing vacancy and a recent screwworm outbreak in the district. The November 3 contest remains the focus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$38,503Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee Brandon Herrera holds a clear edge in the TX-23 general election matchup against Democrat Katy Padilla Stout, consistent with the district’s recent voting patterns and most independent race ratings labeling it Likely Republican.**
Herrera advanced after incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew following a primary scandal involving an admitted relationship with a staffer who later died by suicide; Gonzales had been urged to exit by House Republican leaders. The majority-Hispanic district, which covers much of the Texas-Mexico border and includes parts of Bexar County, gave Republican presidential and Senate candidates comfortable margins in 2024. Padilla Stout won a competitive Democratic primary, but the seat’s structural Republican tilt and Herrera’s strong primary showing have kept trader consensus on the GOP side, with limited movement despite the ongoing vacancy and a recent screwworm outbreak in the district. The November 3 contest remains the focus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$38,503Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican nominee Brandon Herrera holds a clear edge in the TX-23 general election matchup against Democrat Katy Padilla Stout, consistent with the district’s recent voting patterns and most independent race ratings labeling it Likely Republican.** Herrera advanced after incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew following a primary scandal involving an admitted relationship with a staffer who later died by suicide; Gonzales had been urged to exit by House Republican leaders. The majority-Hispanic district, which covers much of the Texas-Mexico border and includes parts of Bexar County, gave Republican presidential and Senate candidates comfortable margins in 2024. Padilla Stout won a competitive Democratic primary, but the seat’s structural Republican tilt and Herrera’s strong primary showing have kept trader consensus on the GOP side, with limited movement despite the ongoing vacancy and a recent screwworm outbreak in the district. The November 3 contest remains the focus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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