Incumbent Republican Erin Houchin, who secured 64.5% of the vote in her 2024 reelection, advanced unopposed through Indiana's 9th District Republican primary on May 5, solidifying her position in this R+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index stronghold covering southern Indiana. Brad Meyer emerged from a crowded Democratic primary to become the nominee, but the district's consistent Republican dominance—bolstered by strong incumbent performance and limited Democratic infrastructure—drives trader consensus to price a GOP victory at over 90%. While late scandals, health issues for Houchin, or a national Democratic midterm wave could shift odds, historical base rates for such safe seats favor the incumbent through November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIN-09 House Election Winner
IN-09 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,089 Обс.
91%
Democratic Party
$785 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Erin Houchin, who secured 64.5% of the vote in her 2024 reelection, advanced unopposed through Indiana's 9th District Republican primary on May 5, solidifying her position in this R+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index stronghold covering southern Indiana. Brad Meyer emerged from a crowded Democratic primary to become the nominee, but the district's consistent Republican dominance—bolstered by strong incumbent performance and limited Democratic infrastructure—drives trader consensus to price a GOP victory at over 90%. While late scandals, health issues for Houchin, or a national Democratic midterm wave could shift odds, historical base rates for such safe seats favor the incumbent through November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,874Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Erin Houchin, who secured 64.5% of the vote in her 2024 reelection, advanced unopposed through Indiana's 9th District Republican primary on May 5, solidifying her position in this R+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index stronghold covering southern Indiana. Brad Meyer emerged from a crowded Democratic primary to become the nominee, but the district's consistent Republican dominance—bolstered by strong incumbent performance and limited Democratic infrastructure—drives trader consensus to price a GOP victory at over 90%. While late scandals, health issues for Houchin, or a national Democratic midterm wave could shift odds, historical base rates for such safe seats favor the incumbent through November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$3,874Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Erin Houchin, who secured 64.5% of the vote in her 2024 reelection, advanced unopposed through Indiana's 9th District Republican primary on May 5, solidifying her position in this R+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index stronghold covering southern Indiana. Brad Meyer emerged from a crowded Democratic primary to become the nominee, but the district's consistent Republican dominance—bolstered by strong incumbent performance and limited Democratic infrastructure—drives trader consensus to price a GOP victory at over 90%. While late scandals, health issues for Houchin, or a national Democratic midterm wave could shift odds, historical base rates for such safe seats favor the incumbent through November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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