Skip to main content
icon for CA-14 Special Election Winner?
Політика·палата представників

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

icon for CA-14 Special Election Winner?
Політика·палата представників

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

Aisha Wahab 85%

Melissa Hernandez 14.3%

Carin Elam <1%

Wendy Huang <1%

Polymarket

$24,505 Обс.

Aisha Wahab 85%

Melissa Hernandez 14.3%

Carin Elam <1%

Wendy Huang <1%

Polymarket

$24,505 Обс.

Aisha Wahab

$16,272 Обс.

85%

Melissa Hernandez

$2,411 Обс.

14%

Wendy Huang

$1,320 Обс.

1%

Carin Elam

$826 Обс.

1%

Matt Ortega

$1,034 Обс.

<1%

Rakhi Israni Singh

$1,711 Обс.

<1%

Victor Aguilar Jr.

$930 Обс.

<1%

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.State Senator Aisha Wahab holds a strong position in the CA-14 special election runoff due to her 42.8% finish in the June 16 primary, well ahead of BART Board Director Melissa Hernandez at roughly 17%. The vacancy arose after former Rep. Eric Swalwell resigned amid allegations, prompting a crowded Democratic primary in the solidly Democratic East Bay district where the top two advanced to the August 18 general. Wahab secured endorsements from the California Democratic Party, multiple labor unions, and progressive groups, alongside advantages in fundraising and cash on hand. Hernandez has gained some ground through outside spending and targeted appeals to key voting blocs, yet traders view the race as Wahab’s to lose given the district’s partisan lean and her primary consolidation. Mail ballots are already out, with results expected soon after polls close.

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Обсяг
$24,505
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.State Senator Aisha Wahab holds a strong position in the CA-14 special election runoff due to her 42.8% finish in the June 16 primary, well ahead of BART Board Director Melissa Hernandez at roughly 17%. The vacancy arose after former Rep. Eric Swalwell resigned amid allegations, prompting a crowded Democratic primary in the solidly Democratic East Bay district where the top two advanced to the August 18 general. Wahab secured endorsements from the California Democratic Party, multiple labor unions, and progressive groups, alongside advantages in fundraising and cash on hand. Hernandez has gained some ground through outside spending and targeted appeals to key voting blocs, yet traders view the race as Wahab’s to lose given the district’s partisan lean and her primary consolidation. Mail ballots are already out, with results expected soon after polls close.

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Обсяг
$24,505
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Пов'язане

icon for Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?

Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?

89%
icon for Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat?

Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat?

57%
icon for Will Scott Timko win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat?

Will Scott Timko win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat?

87%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«CA-14 Special Election Winner?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Aisha Wahab» з 85%, далі «Melissa Hernandez» з 14%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «CA-14 Special Election Winner?» згенерував $24.5K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 16, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «CA-14 Special Election Winner?», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «CA-14 Special Election Winner?» — «Aisha Wahab» з 85%. Наступний — «Melissa Hernandez» з 14%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «CA-14 Special Election Winner?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.