Recent Tennessee Republican-led redistricting, enacted via special legislative session around May 7, has reshaped the 9th Congressional District by carving up Memphis's majority-Black Democratic base into more GOP-friendly areas, positioning Republicans for a potential 9-0 House sweep and driving their trader consensus to 82%. Incumbent Steve Cohen faces a crowded Democratic primary on August 6 against challengers including M. LaTroy A-Williams, DeVante Hill, and Justin Pearson, risking vote fragmentation. GOP field strengthened with recent announcements from State Sen. Brent Taylor and Rep. Todd Warner, alongside Charlotte Bergmann and Kevin Young. Democrats' federal Voting Rights Act challenge, filed days ago, adds uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election, but traders price in the new map's durability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTN-09 House Election Winner
TN-09 House Election Winner
$25,203 Обс.
$25,203 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
15%
$25,203 Обс.
$25,203 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$13,035 Обс.
82%
Democratic Party
$12,167 Обс.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent Tennessee Republican-led redistricting, enacted via special legislative session around May 7, has reshaped the 9th Congressional District by carving up Memphis's majority-Black Democratic base into more GOP-friendly areas, positioning Republicans for a potential 9-0 House sweep and driving their trader consensus to 82%. Incumbent Steve Cohen faces a crowded Democratic primary on August 6 against challengers including M. LaTroy A-Williams, DeVante Hill, and Justin Pearson, risking vote fragmentation. GOP field strengthened with recent announcements from State Sen. Brent Taylor and Rep. Todd Warner, alongside Charlotte Bergmann and Kevin Young. Democrats' federal Voting Rights Act challenge, filed days ago, adds uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election, but traders price in the new map's durability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$25,203Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent Tennessee Republican-led redistricting, enacted via special legislative session around May 7, has reshaped the 9th Congressional District by carving up Memphis's majority-Black Democratic base into more GOP-friendly areas, positioning Republicans for a potential 9-0 House sweep and driving their trader consensus to 82%. Incumbent Steve Cohen faces a crowded Democratic primary on August 6 against challengers including M. LaTroy A-Williams, DeVante Hill, and Justin Pearson, risking vote fragmentation. GOP field strengthened with recent announcements from State Sen. Brent Taylor and Rep. Todd Warner, alongside Charlotte Bergmann and Kevin Young. Democrats' federal Voting Rights Act challenge, filed days ago, adds uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election, but traders price in the new map's durability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$25,203Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Tennessee Republican-led redistricting, enacted via special legislative session around May 7, has reshaped the 9th Congressional District by carving up Memphis's majority-Black Democratic base into more GOP-friendly areas, positioning Republicans for a potential 9-0 House sweep and driving their trader consensus to 82%. Incumbent Steve Cohen faces a crowded Democratic primary on August 6 against challengers including M. LaTroy A-Williams, DeVante Hill, and Justin Pearson, risking vote fragmentation. GOP field strengthened with recent announcements from State Sen. Brent Taylor and Rep. Todd Warner, alongside Charlotte Bergmann and Kevin Young. Democrats' federal Voting Rights Act challenge, filed days ago, adds uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election, but traders price in the new map's durability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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