Redistricting in 2026 transformed Tennessee's 9th Congressional District from a long-standing Democratic stronghold into a Republican-leaning seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9 and a Trump margin exceeding 20 points, extending into Nashville suburbs. The retirement of longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opened the race, allowing Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor to win his party's primary and establish a clear advantage heading into the November general election against Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson. Trader consensus at 83.5% for Republicans reflects this structural shift and historical patterns for open seats in similarly redrawn districts, while the Democratic share accounts for Pearson's fundraising and the possibility of higher turnout in Memphis core areas. No major developments have altered the positioning in the two weeks since the August primaries.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTN-09 House Election Winner
TN-09 House Election Winner
$33,175 Обс.
$33,175 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
16%
$33,175 Обс.
$33,175 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$19,961 Обс.
84%
Democratic Party
$13,214 Обс.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting in 2026 transformed Tennessee's 9th Congressional District from a long-standing Democratic stronghold into a Republican-leaning seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9 and a Trump margin exceeding 20 points, extending into Nashville suburbs. The retirement of longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opened the race, allowing Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor to win his party's primary and establish a clear advantage heading into the November general election against Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson. Trader consensus at 83.5% for Republicans reflects this structural shift and historical patterns for open seats in similarly redrawn districts, while the Democratic share accounts for Pearson's fundraising and the possibility of higher turnout in Memphis core areas. No major developments have altered the positioning in the two weeks since the August primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$33,175Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting in 2026 transformed Tennessee's 9th Congressional District from a long-standing Democratic stronghold into a Republican-leaning seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9 and a Trump margin exceeding 20 points, extending into Nashville suburbs. The retirement of longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opened the race, allowing Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor to win his party's primary and establish a clear advantage heading into the November general election against Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson. Trader consensus at 83.5% for Republicans reflects this structural shift and historical patterns for open seats in similarly redrawn districts, while the Democratic share accounts for Pearson's fundraising and the possibility of higher turnout in Memphis core areas. No major developments have altered the positioning in the two weeks since the August primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$33,175Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting in 2026 transformed Tennessee's 9th Congressional District from a long-standing Democratic stronghold into a Republican-leaning seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9 and a Trump margin exceeding 20 points, extending into Nashville suburbs. The retirement of longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opened the race, allowing Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor to win his party's primary and establish a clear advantage heading into the November general election against Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson. Trader consensus at 83.5% for Republicans reflects this structural shift and historical patterns for open seats in similarly redrawn districts, while the Democratic share accounts for Pearson's fundraising and the possibility of higher turnout in Memphis core areas. No major developments have altered the positioning in the two weeks since the August primaries.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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