Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent and former San Jose mayor, secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 75% of the vote in California’s 16th district, advancing against Republican Peter Soule. The seat carries a strongly Democratic partisan voting index exceeding D+25, reflected in consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report. Primary results and fundraising patterns underscore limited Republican inroads, while the broader California House map favors Democratic retention amid statewide trends. The 93% Democratic consensus in trader pricing aligns with these structural advantages heading into the November general election. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift, candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout differentials, though the district’s composition makes such outcomes improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-16 House Election Winner
CA-16 House Election Winner
$81,288 Обс.
$81,288 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$81,288 Обс.
$81,288 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$49,719 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$31,569 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent and former San Jose mayor, secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 75% of the vote in California’s 16th district, advancing against Republican Peter Soule. The seat carries a strongly Democratic partisan voting index exceeding D+25, reflected in consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report. Primary results and fundraising patterns underscore limited Republican inroads, while the broader California House map favors Democratic retention amid statewide trends. The 93% Democratic consensus in trader pricing aligns with these structural advantages heading into the November general election. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift, candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout differentials, though the district’s composition makes such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$81,288Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent and former San Jose mayor, secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 75% of the vote in California’s 16th district, advancing against Republican Peter Soule. The seat carries a strongly Democratic partisan voting index exceeding D+25, reflected in consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report. Primary results and fundraising patterns underscore limited Republican inroads, while the broader California House map favors Democratic retention amid statewide trends. The 93% Democratic consensus in trader pricing aligns with these structural advantages heading into the November general election. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift, candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout differentials, though the district’s composition makes such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$81,288Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent and former San Jose mayor, secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 75% of the vote in California’s 16th district, advancing against Republican Peter Soule. The seat carries a strongly Democratic partisan voting index exceeding D+25, reflected in consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report. Primary results and fundraising patterns underscore limited Republican inroads, while the broader California House map favors Democratic retention amid statewide trends. The 93% Democratic consensus in trader pricing aligns with these structural advantages heading into the November general election. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift, candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout differentials, though the district’s composition makes such outcomes improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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