Illinois's 3rd congressional district features a heavily Democratic electorate centered in Chicago neighborhoods such as Albany Park, Logan Square, and Irving Park. Incumbent Democratic Representative Delia Ramirez secured the nomination without primary opposition in March 2026, while Republican Angel Oakley advanced as the general-election nominee. The district's consistent partisan lean, combined with Ramirez's established incumbency and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus around a wide Democratic margin. Limited visibility for the Republican candidate and absence of major scandals or nationalized issues have kept probabilities stable since the primaries. A late-breaking development such as an ethics controversy, health-related withdrawal, or unforeseen turnout surge would be required to meaningfully alter the current outlook ahead of the November 2026 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIL-03 House Election Winner
IL-03 House Election Winner
$50,640 Обс.
$50,640 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
$50,640 Обс.
$50,640 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$26,616 Обс.
96%
Republican Party
$24,024 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 3rd congressional district features a heavily Democratic electorate centered in Chicago neighborhoods such as Albany Park, Logan Square, and Irving Park. Incumbent Democratic Representative Delia Ramirez secured the nomination without primary opposition in March 2026, while Republican Angel Oakley advanced as the general-election nominee. The district's consistent partisan lean, combined with Ramirez's established incumbency and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus around a wide Democratic margin. Limited visibility for the Republican candidate and absence of major scandals or nationalized issues have kept probabilities stable since the primaries. A late-breaking development such as an ethics controversy, health-related withdrawal, or unforeseen turnout surge would be required to meaningfully alter the current outlook ahead of the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$50,640Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 3rd congressional district features a heavily Democratic electorate centered in Chicago neighborhoods such as Albany Park, Logan Square, and Irving Park. Incumbent Democratic Representative Delia Ramirez secured the nomination without primary opposition in March 2026, while Republican Angel Oakley advanced as the general-election nominee. The district's consistent partisan lean, combined with Ramirez's established incumbency and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus around a wide Democratic margin. Limited visibility for the Republican candidate and absence of major scandals or nationalized issues have kept probabilities stable since the primaries. A late-breaking development such as an ethics controversy, health-related withdrawal, or unforeseen turnout surge would be required to meaningfully alter the current outlook ahead of the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$50,640Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 3rd congressional district features a heavily Democratic electorate centered in Chicago neighborhoods such as Albany Park, Logan Square, and Irving Park. Incumbent Democratic Representative Delia Ramirez secured the nomination without primary opposition in March 2026, while Republican Angel Oakley advanced as the general-election nominee. The district's consistent partisan lean, combined with Ramirez's established incumbency and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus around a wide Democratic margin. Limited visibility for the Republican candidate and absence of major scandals or nationalized issues have kept probabilities stable since the primaries. A late-breaking development such as an ethics controversy, health-related withdrawal, or unforeseen turnout surge would be required to meaningfully alter the current outlook ahead of the November 2026 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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