The Maryland 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Sarah Elfreth, first elected in 2024, faces multiple primary challengers ahead of the June 23 vote but retains clear advantages in name recognition and fundraising as the general election approaches in November. Republican candidates remain limited to low-profile entrants with minimal resources or statewide visibility. While a significant scandal, an unusually weak Democratic nominee, or a national midterm wave could narrow the gap, historical patterns and the district's voter composition make substantial shifts unlikely before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMD-03 House Election Winner
MD-03 House Election Winner
$22,761 Обс.
$22,761 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$22,761 Обс.
$22,761 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,939 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$6,822 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Maryland 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Sarah Elfreth, first elected in 2024, faces multiple primary challengers ahead of the June 23 vote but retains clear advantages in name recognition and fundraising as the general election approaches in November. Republican candidates remain limited to low-profile entrants with minimal resources or statewide visibility. While a significant scandal, an unusually weak Democratic nominee, or a national midterm wave could narrow the gap, historical patterns and the district's voter composition make substantial shifts unlikely before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$22,761Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Maryland 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Sarah Elfreth, first elected in 2024, faces multiple primary challengers ahead of the June 23 vote but retains clear advantages in name recognition and fundraising as the general election approaches in November. Republican candidates remain limited to low-profile entrants with minimal resources or statewide visibility. While a significant scandal, an unusually weak Democratic nominee, or a national midterm wave could narrow the gap, historical patterns and the district's voter composition make substantial shifts unlikely before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$22,761Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Maryland 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Sarah Elfreth, first elected in 2024, faces multiple primary challengers ahead of the June 23 vote but retains clear advantages in name recognition and fundraising as the general election approaches in November. Republican candidates remain limited to low-profile entrants with minimal resources or statewide visibility. While a significant scandal, an unusually weak Democratic nominee, or a national midterm wave could narrow the gap, historical patterns and the district's voter composition make substantial shifts unlikely before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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