Republican dominance in Washington's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+10 partisan lean, drives trader consensus favoring the GOP at 80.5% to hold the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Dan Newhouse. A crowded Republican primary field—including top fundraisers Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney ($524K raised) and Jerrod Sessler ($402K)—outpaces Democrat John Duresky's $64K, increasing odds of two Republicans advancing from the August 4 top-two primary to face off in November. A February GOP poll showed Duresky leading the fragmented primary at 25%, but district fundamentals and April generic ballot tie (45% R-44% D) underscore structural GOP advantages despite uncertainty in primary consolidation. An upcoming May 29 debate may clarify frontrunners.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWA-04 House Election Winner
WA-04 House Election Winner
$26,836 Обс.
$26,836 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
20%
$26,836 Обс.
$26,836 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$13,712 Обс.
81%
Democratic Party
$13,124 Обс.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican dominance in Washington's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+10 partisan lean, drives trader consensus favoring the GOP at 80.5% to hold the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Dan Newhouse. A crowded Republican primary field—including top fundraisers Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney ($524K raised) and Jerrod Sessler ($402K)—outpaces Democrat John Duresky's $64K, increasing odds of two Republicans advancing from the August 4 top-two primary to face off in November. A February GOP poll showed Duresky leading the fragmented primary at 25%, but district fundamentals and April generic ballot tie (45% R-44% D) underscore structural GOP advantages despite uncertainty in primary consolidation. An upcoming May 29 debate may clarify frontrunners.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$26,836Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican dominance in Washington's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+10 partisan lean, drives trader consensus favoring the GOP at 80.5% to hold the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Dan Newhouse. A crowded Republican primary field—including top fundraisers Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney ($524K raised) and Jerrod Sessler ($402K)—outpaces Democrat John Duresky's $64K, increasing odds of two Republicans advancing from the August 4 top-two primary to face off in November. A February GOP poll showed Duresky leading the fragmented primary at 25%, but district fundamentals and April generic ballot tie (45% R-44% D) underscore structural GOP advantages despite uncertainty in primary consolidation. An upcoming May 29 debate may clarify frontrunners.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$26,836Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican dominance in Washington's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+10 partisan lean, drives trader consensus favoring the GOP at 80.5% to hold the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Dan Newhouse. A crowded Republican primary field—including top fundraisers Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney ($524K raised) and Jerrod Sessler ($402K)—outpaces Democrat John Duresky's $64K, increasing odds of two Republicans advancing from the August 4 top-two primary to face off in November. A February GOP poll showed Duresky leading the fragmented primary at 25%, but district fundamentals and April generic ballot tie (45% R-44% D) underscore structural GOP advantages despite uncertainty in primary consolidation. An upcoming May 29 debate may clarify frontrunners.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання