Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer faces no primary opposition ahead of the June 2, 2026, contest in New Jersey’s 5th District, a seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2 reflects consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles, reinforced by Gottheimer’s established fundraising edge and moderate profile that has limited intra-party challenges. With Republican nominee Sean Kirrane as the presumptive general-election opponent, trader consensus at 83.5% for Democrats tracks the structural advantages of incumbency and historical margins in this light-blue suburban and rural mix. Absent major scandals or national shifts, the race shows little volatility through the November 3, 2026, general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNJ-05 House Election Winner
NJ-05 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
78%
Republican Party
16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$325 Обс.
78%
Republican Party
$206 Обс.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer faces no primary opposition ahead of the June 2, 2026, contest in New Jersey’s 5th District, a seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2 reflects consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles, reinforced by Gottheimer’s established fundraising edge and moderate profile that has limited intra-party challenges. With Republican nominee Sean Kirrane as the presumptive general-election opponent, trader consensus at 83.5% for Democrats tracks the structural advantages of incumbency and historical margins in this light-blue suburban and rural mix. Absent major scandals or national shifts, the race shows little volatility through the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Обсяг
$532Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer faces no primary opposition ahead of the June 2, 2026, contest in New Jersey’s 5th District, a seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2 reflects consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles, reinforced by Gottheimer’s established fundraising edge and moderate profile that has limited intra-party challenges. With Republican nominee Sean Kirrane as the presumptive general-election opponent, trader consensus at 83.5% for Democrats tracks the structural advantages of incumbency and historical margins in this light-blue suburban and rural mix. Absent major scandals or national shifts, the race shows little volatility through the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$532Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer faces no primary opposition ahead of the June 2, 2026, contest in New Jersey’s 5th District, a seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2 reflects consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles, reinforced by Gottheimer’s established fundraising edge and moderate profile that has limited intra-party challenges. With Republican nominee Sean Kirrane as the presumptive general-election opponent, trader consensus at 83.5% for Democrats tracks the structural advantages of incumbency and historical margins in this light-blue suburban and rural mix. Absent major scandals or national shifts, the race shows little volatility through the November 3, 2026, general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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