Florida's 24th congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94 percent. Longtime incumbent Frederica Wilson announced her retirement earlier this year, creating an open seat that drew a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the August 18 vote. Recent redistricting increased the statewide Republican advantage to roughly 24-4, yet left this Miami-area district's partisan composition largely intact, with historical margins exceeding 30 points. A single Republican candidate faces structural barriers including voter registration patterns and turnout dynamics. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the party above 94 percent. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or legal issue affecting the eventual Democratic nominee between now and November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-24 House Election Winner
FL-24 House Election Winner
$24,810 Обс.
$24,810 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
3%
$24,810 Обс.
$24,810 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,100 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$14,710 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94 percent. Longtime incumbent Frederica Wilson announced her retirement earlier this year, creating an open seat that drew a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the August 18 vote. Recent redistricting increased the statewide Republican advantage to roughly 24-4, yet left this Miami-area district's partisan composition largely intact, with historical margins exceeding 30 points. A single Republican candidate faces structural barriers including voter registration patterns and turnout dynamics. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the party above 94 percent. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or legal issue affecting the eventual Democratic nominee between now and November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$24,810Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94 percent. Longtime incumbent Frederica Wilson announced her retirement earlier this year, creating an open seat that drew a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the August 18 vote. Recent redistricting increased the statewide Republican advantage to roughly 24-4, yet left this Miami-area district's partisan composition largely intact, with historical margins exceeding 30 points. A single Republican candidate faces structural barriers including voter registration patterns and turnout dynamics. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the party above 94 percent. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or legal issue affecting the eventual Democratic nominee between now and November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$24,810Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 24th congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94 percent. Longtime incumbent Frederica Wilson announced her retirement earlier this year, creating an open seat that drew a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the August 18 vote. Recent redistricting increased the statewide Republican advantage to roughly 24-4, yet left this Miami-area district's partisan composition largely intact, with historical margins exceeding 30 points. A single Republican candidate faces structural barriers including voter registration patterns and turnout dynamics. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the party above 94 percent. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or legal issue affecting the eventual Democratic nominee between now and November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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