Jared Moskowitz secured the Democratic nomination for Florida’s 25th Congressional District in the August 18 primary, defeating challenger Oliver Larkin by a wide margin and entering the general election with strong name recognition from prior service in the neighboring district. The newly drawn coastal seat stretching from southern Palm Beach County through Broward to Miami Beach shifted rightward under the latest map, with Donald Trump carrying it by roughly five to nine points in 2024, yet remains among the state’s most competitive House races. Scott Singer emerged as the Republican nominee from a fragmented primary field. Traders appear to weigh Moskowitz’s record on disaster preparedness, affordability, and cross-aisle work against the district’s partisan lean, producing the current 70 percent Democratic implied probability ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-25 House Election Winner
FL-25 House Election Winner
$26,335 Обс.
$26,335 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
70%
Republican Party
29%
$26,335 Обс.
$26,335 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,727 Обс.
70%
Republican Party
$17,608 Обс.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jared Moskowitz secured the Democratic nomination for Florida’s 25th Congressional District in the August 18 primary, defeating challenger Oliver Larkin by a wide margin and entering the general election with strong name recognition from prior service in the neighboring district. The newly drawn coastal seat stretching from southern Palm Beach County through Broward to Miami Beach shifted rightward under the latest map, with Donald Trump carrying it by roughly five to nine points in 2024, yet remains among the state’s most competitive House races. Scott Singer emerged as the Republican nominee from a fragmented primary field. Traders appear to weigh Moskowitz’s record on disaster preparedness, affordability, and cross-aisle work against the district’s partisan lean, producing the current 70 percent Democratic implied probability ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$26,335Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jared Moskowitz secured the Democratic nomination for Florida’s 25th Congressional District in the August 18 primary, defeating challenger Oliver Larkin by a wide margin and entering the general election with strong name recognition from prior service in the neighboring district. The newly drawn coastal seat stretching from southern Palm Beach County through Broward to Miami Beach shifted rightward under the latest map, with Donald Trump carrying it by roughly five to nine points in 2024, yet remains among the state’s most competitive House races. Scott Singer emerged as the Republican nominee from a fragmented primary field. Traders appear to weigh Moskowitz’s record on disaster preparedness, affordability, and cross-aisle work against the district’s partisan lean, producing the current 70 percent Democratic implied probability ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$26,335Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Jared Moskowitz secured the Democratic nomination for Florida’s 25th Congressional District in the August 18 primary, defeating challenger Oliver Larkin by a wide margin and entering the general election with strong name recognition from prior service in the neighboring district. The newly drawn coastal seat stretching from southern Palm Beach County through Broward to Miami Beach shifted rightward under the latest map, with Donald Trump carrying it by roughly five to nine points in 2024, yet remains among the state’s most competitive House races. Scott Singer emerged as the Republican nominee from a fragmented primary field. Traders appear to weigh Moskowitz’s record on disaster preparedness, affordability, and cross-aisle work against the district’s partisan lean, producing the current 70 percent Democratic implied probability ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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