Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad secured his party's nomination in the August 11, 2026, primary with roughly 90 percent of the vote, facing Democrat Jake Johnson, who won his primary with about 82 percent. Minnesota's 1st district carries a Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index and Finstad's 58.5 percent margin in 2024, with forecasters rating the race Likely or Solid Republican. These factors, combined with the absence of major scandals or shifts in the broader 2026 midterm environment, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 64 percent implied probability. Democrats would require a significant swing in national conditions or district-specific momentum to close the gap before the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMN-01 House Election Winner
MN-01 House Election Winner
$24,940 Обс.
$24,940 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
64%
Democratic Party
31%
$24,940 Обс.
$24,940 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$10,360 Обс.
64%
Democratic Party
$14,580 Обс.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad secured his party's nomination in the August 11, 2026, primary with roughly 90 percent of the vote, facing Democrat Jake Johnson, who won his primary with about 82 percent. Minnesota's 1st district carries a Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index and Finstad's 58.5 percent margin in 2024, with forecasters rating the race Likely or Solid Republican. These factors, combined with the absence of major scandals or shifts in the broader 2026 midterm environment, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 64 percent implied probability. Democrats would require a significant swing in national conditions or district-specific momentum to close the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$24,940Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad secured his party's nomination in the August 11, 2026, primary with roughly 90 percent of the vote, facing Democrat Jake Johnson, who won his primary with about 82 percent. Minnesota's 1st district carries a Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index and Finstad's 58.5 percent margin in 2024, with forecasters rating the race Likely or Solid Republican. These factors, combined with the absence of major scandals or shifts in the broader 2026 midterm environment, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 64 percent implied probability. Democrats would require a significant swing in national conditions or district-specific momentum to close the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$24,940Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad secured his party's nomination in the August 11, 2026, primary with roughly 90 percent of the vote, facing Democrat Jake Johnson, who won his primary with about 82 percent. Minnesota's 1st district carries a Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index and Finstad's 58.5 percent margin in 2024, with forecasters rating the race Likely or Solid Republican. These factors, combined with the absence of major scandals or shifts in the broader 2026 midterm environment, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 64 percent implied probability. Democrats would require a significant swing in national conditions or district-specific momentum to close the gap before the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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