Incumbent Rep. Brad Finstad (R) holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+6 partisan lean, driving trader consensus to price a GOP hold at 60.5%. Finstad's 17-point reelection victory in 2024, outperforming Trump's 12-point district win, bolsters his incumbency advantage against Democratic challenger Jake Johnson, the likely nominee after emerging as the sole primary contender. A March Ragnar Research poll showed Finstad leading 52%-42%, though Johnson posted competitive Q1 fundraising with over $1.2 million raised. With primaries on August 11 and the general election November 3, no major shifts have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving odds reflective of district fundamentals and polling trends.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMN-01 House Election Winner
MN-01 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
61%
Democratic Party
37%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,041 Обс.
61%
Democratic Party
$3,590 Обс.
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Brad Finstad (R) holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+6 partisan lean, driving trader consensus to price a GOP hold at 60.5%. Finstad's 17-point reelection victory in 2024, outperforming Trump's 12-point district win, bolsters his incumbency advantage against Democratic challenger Jake Johnson, the likely nominee after emerging as the sole primary contender. A March Ragnar Research poll showed Finstad leading 52%-42%, though Johnson posted competitive Q1 fundraising with over $1.2 million raised. With primaries on August 11 and the general election November 3, no major shifts have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving odds reflective of district fundamentals and polling trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,631Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Brad Finstad (R) holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+6 partisan lean, driving trader consensus to price a GOP hold at 60.5%. Finstad's 17-point reelection victory in 2024, outperforming Trump's 12-point district win, bolsters his incumbency advantage against Democratic challenger Jake Johnson, the likely nominee after emerging as the sole primary contender. A March Ragnar Research poll showed Finstad leading 52%-42%, though Johnson posted competitive Q1 fundraising with over $1.2 million raised. With primaries on August 11 and the general election November 3, no major shifts have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving odds reflective of district fundamentals and polling trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$6,631Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Brad Finstad (R) holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+6 partisan lean, driving trader consensus to price a GOP hold at 60.5%. Finstad's 17-point reelection victory in 2024, outperforming Trump's 12-point district win, bolsters his incumbency advantage against Democratic challenger Jake Johnson, the likely nominee after emerging as the sole primary contender. A March Ragnar Research poll showed Finstad leading 52%-42%, though Johnson posted competitive Q1 fundraising with over $1.2 million raised. With primaries on August 11 and the general election November 3, no major shifts have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving odds reflective of district fundamentals and polling trends.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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