Democratic House members face mounting decisions ahead of the 2026 midterms, with approximately 20 already announcing they will not seek re-election due to age, long tenures, or bids for other offices such as governor or Senate. This pace aligns with a broader retirement wave affecting both parties, driven by recent state redistricting changes and institutional pressures that have prompted departures from veteran lawmakers in key states. Trader consensus across closely grouped bins from the low 20s to mid-30s captures remaining uncertainty over additional announcements before filing deadlines close, as historical patterns show late decisions can still shift totals. Developments like primary challenges or further resignations could consolidate probabilities, while sustained competitive dynamics in targeted districts may encourage more incumbents to stay.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено32–35 30.1%
24–27 22%
28–31 18%
20–23 15.4%
$31,637 Обс.
$31,637 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
<20
2%
20–23
15%
24–27
22%
28–31
18%
32–35
30%
36–39
3%
40+
14%
32–35 30.1%
24–27 22%
28–31 18%
20–23 15.4%
$31,637 Обс.
$31,637 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
<20
$16,991 Обс.
2%
20–23
$5,244 Обс.
15%
24–27
$4,156 Обс.
22%
28–31
$1,164 Обс.
18%
32–35
$3,574 Обс.
30%
36–39
$508 Обс.
3%
40+
$0 Обс.
14%
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Democratic House members face mounting decisions ahead of the 2026 midterms, with approximately 20 already announcing they will not seek re-election due to age, long tenures, or bids for other offices such as governor or Senate. This pace aligns with a broader retirement wave affecting both parties, driven by recent state redistricting changes and institutional pressures that have prompted departures from veteran lawmakers in key states. Trader consensus across closely grouped bins from the low 20s to mid-30s captures remaining uncertainty over additional announcements before filing deadlines close, as historical patterns show late decisions can still shift totals. Developments like primary challenges or further resignations could consolidate probabilities, while sustained competitive dynamics in targeted districts may encourage more incumbents to stay.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
Обсяг
$31,637Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Democratic House members face mounting decisions ahead of the 2026 midterms, with approximately 20 already announcing they will not seek re-election due to age, long tenures, or bids for other offices such as governor or Senate. This pace aligns with a broader retirement wave affecting both parties, driven by recent state redistricting changes and institutional pressures that have prompted departures from veteran lawmakers in key states. Trader consensus across closely grouped bins from the low 20s to mid-30s captures remaining uncertainty over additional announcements before filing deadlines close, as historical patterns show late decisions can still shift totals. Developments like primary challenges or further resignations could consolidate probabilities, while sustained competitive dynamics in targeted districts may encourage more incumbents to stay.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$31,637Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic House members face mounting decisions ahead of the 2026 midterms, with approximately 20 already announcing they will not seek re-election due to age, long tenures, or bids for other offices such as governor or Senate. This pace aligns with a broader retirement wave affecting both parties, driven by recent state redistricting changes and institutional pressures that have prompted departures from veteran lawmakers in key states. Trader consensus across closely grouped bins from the low 20s to mid-30s captures remaining uncertainty over additional announcements before filing deadlines close, as historical patterns show late decisions can still shift totals. Developments like primary challenges or further resignations could consolidate probabilities, while sustained competitive dynamics in targeted districts may encourage more incumbents to stay.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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