Skip to main content
icon for CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Вибори·Проміжні семестри

CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Вибори·Проміжні семестри

CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Luke Bronin 45%

John Larson 36%

Ruth Fortune 4.5%

Jillian Gilchrest 2.1%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Luke Bronin 45%

John Larson 36%

Ruth Fortune 4.5%

Jillian Gilchrest 2.1%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Luke Bronin

$3,895 Обс.

45%

John Larson

$699 Обс.

41%

Ruth Fortune

$848 Обс.

4%

Jillian Gilchrest

$1,817 Обс.

2%

Mark Stewart Greenstein

$1,521 Обс.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin’s narrow upset victory over 14-term incumbent Rep. John Larson at the May 11 Democratic state convention—securing the party endorsement by a slim margin on the second ballot—has fueled a tight race in the CT-01 Democratic primary, reflected in trader consensus pricing Larson at 40.5% and Bronin at 37.5% ahead of the August 11 contest. Larson’s incumbency advantages, including seniority on the House Ways and Means Committee, established name recognition, and a March internal poll showing his lead, maintain his edge despite Bronin’s fundraising momentum and generational appeal. State Rep. Jillian Gilchrest qualified for the ballot, while Ruth Fortune and Mark Stewart Greenstein trail. Public polls, key endorsements, or debates could tip the balance in this closely contested primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$8,781
Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin’s narrow upset victory over 14-term incumbent Rep. John Larson at the May 11 Democratic state convention—securing the party endorsement by a slim margin on the second ballot—has fueled a tight race in the CT-01 Democratic primary, reflected in trader consensus pricing Larson at 40.5% and Bronin at 37.5% ahead of the August 11 contest. Larson’s incumbency advantages, including seniority on the House Ways and Means Committee, established name recognition, and a March internal poll showing his lead, maintain his edge despite Bronin’s fundraising momentum and generational appeal. State Rep. Jillian Gilchrest qualified for the ballot, while Ruth Fortune and Mark Stewart Greenstein trail. Public polls, key endorsements, or debates could tip the balance in this closely contested primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$8,781
Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Luke Bronin» з 45%, далі «John Larson» з 41%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Feb 26, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Luke Bronin» з 45%. Наступний — «John Larson» з 41%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.