Republican incumbent Michael Guest holds a commanding position in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat’s R+14 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles underpin the market’s 95.5% implied probability for the GOP nominee. Guest advanced unopposed through the March primary while Democrat Michael Chiaradio, a political newcomer, secured his party’s nomination without opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A significant late development—such as an unforeseen scandal, major national political shift, or candidate withdrawal—would be required to meaningfully alter the current trader consensus reflected in the pricing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMS-03 House Election Winner
MS-03 House Election Winner
$61,800 Обс.
$61,800 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
3%
$61,800 Обс.
$61,800 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$22,506 Обс.
96%
Democratic Party
$39,294 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Michael Guest holds a commanding position in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat’s R+14 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles underpin the market’s 95.5% implied probability for the GOP nominee. Guest advanced unopposed through the March primary while Democrat Michael Chiaradio, a political newcomer, secured his party’s nomination without opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A significant late development—such as an unforeseen scandal, major national political shift, or candidate withdrawal—would be required to meaningfully alter the current trader consensus reflected in the pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$61,800Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Michael Guest holds a commanding position in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat’s R+14 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles underpin the market’s 95.5% implied probability for the GOP nominee. Guest advanced unopposed through the March primary while Democrat Michael Chiaradio, a political newcomer, secured his party’s nomination without opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A significant late development—such as an unforeseen scandal, major national political shift, or candidate withdrawal—would be required to meaningfully alter the current trader consensus reflected in the pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$61,800Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Michael Guest holds a commanding position in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat’s R+14 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles underpin the market’s 95.5% implied probability for the GOP nominee. Guest advanced unopposed through the March primary while Democrat Michael Chiaradio, a political newcomer, secured his party’s nomination without opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A significant late development—such as an unforeseen scandal, major national political shift, or candidate withdrawal—would be required to meaningfully alter the current trader consensus reflected in the pricing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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