Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis commands trader consensus at 86% implied probability to retain New York's 11th Congressional District on November 3, 2026, reflecting the Staten Island-based seat's rightward shift among working-class voters, including police and firefighters, and her 64% 2024 victory. A March 2026 Supreme Court ruling preserved current boundaries by overturning a Democratic-backed redistricting order, stabilizing GOP fundamentals rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. Recent ballot challenges resolved May 1 kept a fragmented Democratic primary field intact ahead of the June 23 closed primary, with contenders like Mike DeCillis and Allison Ziogas trailing Malliotakis's $2.5 million cash-on-hand advantage and lack of GOP primary opposition.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-11 House Election Winner
NY-11 House Election Winner
$13,739 Обс.
$13,739 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
14%
$13,739 Обс.
$13,739 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$7,655 Обс.
87%
Democratic Party
$6,084 Обс.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis commands trader consensus at 86% implied probability to retain New York's 11th Congressional District on November 3, 2026, reflecting the Staten Island-based seat's rightward shift among working-class voters, including police and firefighters, and her 64% 2024 victory. A March 2026 Supreme Court ruling preserved current boundaries by overturning a Democratic-backed redistricting order, stabilizing GOP fundamentals rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. Recent ballot challenges resolved May 1 kept a fragmented Democratic primary field intact ahead of the June 23 closed primary, with contenders like Mike DeCillis and Allison Ziogas trailing Malliotakis's $2.5 million cash-on-hand advantage and lack of GOP primary opposition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,739Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis commands trader consensus at 86% implied probability to retain New York's 11th Congressional District on November 3, 2026, reflecting the Staten Island-based seat's rightward shift among working-class voters, including police and firefighters, and her 64% 2024 victory. A March 2026 Supreme Court ruling preserved current boundaries by overturning a Democratic-backed redistricting order, stabilizing GOP fundamentals rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. Recent ballot challenges resolved May 1 kept a fragmented Democratic primary field intact ahead of the June 23 closed primary, with contenders like Mike DeCillis and Allison Ziogas trailing Malliotakis's $2.5 million cash-on-hand advantage and lack of GOP primary opposition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$13,739Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis commands trader consensus at 86% implied probability to retain New York's 11th Congressional District on November 3, 2026, reflecting the Staten Island-based seat's rightward shift among working-class voters, including police and firefighters, and her 64% 2024 victory. A March 2026 Supreme Court ruling preserved current boundaries by overturning a Democratic-backed redistricting order, stabilizing GOP fundamentals rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. Recent ballot challenges resolved May 1 kept a fragmented Democratic primary field intact ahead of the June 23 closed primary, with contenders like Mike DeCillis and Allison Ziogas trailing Malliotakis's $2.5 million cash-on-hand advantage and lack of GOP primary opposition.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання