Trader consensus gives the Democratic Party a commanding 93.5% implied probability to win Massachusetts's 7th Congressional District House seat, driven by its D+34 partisan lean and incumbent Rep. Ayanna Pressley's bid for a fifth term after opting against a 2025 Senate run. Pressley, a progressive stalwart, faces no announced primary challengers, while no Republican has filed for the August 25 deadline, underscoring the district's historical dominance—Boston-area voters delivered her 2024 victory by over 70 points. Absent a late Republican recruit, major scandal, or national Republican wave, the odds reflect structural barriers to a GOP upset, with September 1 primaries and November 3 general election as key milestones.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMA-07 House Election Winner
MA-07 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,446 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$1,030 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus gives the Democratic Party a commanding 93.5% implied probability to win Massachusetts's 7th Congressional District House seat, driven by its D+34 partisan lean and incumbent Rep. Ayanna Pressley's bid for a fifth term after opting against a 2025 Senate run. Pressley, a progressive stalwart, faces no announced primary challengers, while no Republican has filed for the August 25 deadline, underscoring the district's historical dominance—Boston-area voters delivered her 2024 victory by over 70 points. Absent a late Republican recruit, major scandal, or national Republican wave, the odds reflect structural barriers to a GOP upset, with September 1 primaries and November 3 general election as key milestones.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,476Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus gives the Democratic Party a commanding 93.5% implied probability to win Massachusetts's 7th Congressional District House seat, driven by its D+34 partisan lean and incumbent Rep. Ayanna Pressley's bid for a fifth term after opting against a 2025 Senate run. Pressley, a progressive stalwart, faces no announced primary challengers, while no Republican has filed for the August 25 deadline, underscoring the district's historical dominance—Boston-area voters delivered her 2024 victory by over 70 points. Absent a late Republican recruit, major scandal, or national Republican wave, the odds reflect structural barriers to a GOP upset, with September 1 primaries and November 3 general election as key milestones.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$8,476Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus gives the Democratic Party a commanding 93.5% implied probability to win Massachusetts's 7th Congressional District House seat, driven by its D+34 partisan lean and incumbent Rep. Ayanna Pressley's bid for a fifth term after opting against a 2025 Senate run. Pressley, a progressive stalwart, faces no announced primary challengers, while no Republican has filed for the August 25 deadline, underscoring the district's historical dominance—Boston-area voters delivered her 2024 victory by over 70 points. Absent a late Republican recruit, major scandal, or national Republican wave, the odds reflect structural barriers to a GOP upset, with September 1 primaries and November 3 general election as key milestones.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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