Incumbent Republican María Elvira Salazar secured her party's nomination with over 81% in the August 18 primary and faces Democratic nominee Eliott Rodriguez in the November 3 general election for Florida's 27th congressional district. The seat carries a Republican-leaning Partisan Voter Index and has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles due to strong support among Cuban-American voters in Miami-Dade. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the contest Likely Republican, reflecting Salazar's incumbency edge, fundraising position, and the district's structural tilt following limited changes from mid-decade redistricting. Traders' consensus probabilities track these fundamentals and primary outcomes rather than indicating a safe seat, as national midterm dynamics or shifts among non-Cuban Latino voters could still influence the final margin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-27 House Election Winner
FL-27 House Election Winner
$21,838 Обс.
$21,838 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
15%
$21,838 Обс.
$21,838 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$10,792 Обс.
85%
Democratic Party
$11,046 Обс.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican María Elvira Salazar secured her party's nomination with over 81% in the August 18 primary and faces Democratic nominee Eliott Rodriguez in the November 3 general election for Florida's 27th congressional district. The seat carries a Republican-leaning Partisan Voter Index and has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles due to strong support among Cuban-American voters in Miami-Dade. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the contest Likely Republican, reflecting Salazar's incumbency edge, fundraising position, and the district's structural tilt following limited changes from mid-decade redistricting. Traders' consensus probabilities track these fundamentals and primary outcomes rather than indicating a safe seat, as national midterm dynamics or shifts among non-Cuban Latino voters could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$21,838Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican María Elvira Salazar secured her party's nomination with over 81% in the August 18 primary and faces Democratic nominee Eliott Rodriguez in the November 3 general election for Florida's 27th congressional district. The seat carries a Republican-leaning Partisan Voter Index and has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles due to strong support among Cuban-American voters in Miami-Dade. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the contest Likely Republican, reflecting Salazar's incumbency edge, fundraising position, and the district's structural tilt following limited changes from mid-decade redistricting. Traders' consensus probabilities track these fundamentals and primary outcomes rather than indicating a safe seat, as national midterm dynamics or shifts among non-Cuban Latino voters could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$21,838Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican María Elvira Salazar secured her party's nomination with over 81% in the August 18 primary and faces Democratic nominee Eliott Rodriguez in the November 3 general election for Florida's 27th congressional district. The seat carries a Republican-leaning Partisan Voter Index and has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles due to strong support among Cuban-American voters in Miami-Dade. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the contest Likely Republican, reflecting Salazar's incumbency edge, fundraising position, and the district's structural tilt following limited changes from mid-decade redistricting. Traders' consensus probabilities track these fundamentals and primary outcomes rather than indicating a safe seat, as national midterm dynamics or shifts among non-Cuban Latino voters could still influence the final margin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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